zhaoli
63763db38c
- EVIDENCE#036: Q12 22d label + weekly rebalance still fails (−4.88%) - EVIDENCE#037: Q13 weekly rebalance edge is window-dependent (−4.21%) - EVIDENCE#038: Q15 single-seed worse (clean-lake conf of #016) - EVIDENCE#039: Q16 HMM features degrade on clean data (−6.06%) - EVIDENCE#040: Q17 realized-moments improve portfolio (+9.90% IR 0.99) - EVIDENCE#041: Q18 OptimalStopControl loses to TopkDropout (−6.21%) Claims updated: H2 OptStop PROVEN, moments claim REFUTED on clean data, weekly edge window-dependent PROVEN, HMM refuted, seed count updated. Open questions marked done.