- 3 detector types (dispersion/vol/HMM) × 14 configs across 5 years - Dispersion gates: 0% trip rate everywhere (dead) - Vol gates: trip differential +32-47pp but destroy returns in good years - HMM gates: +6pp differential, hmm_0.7 improves 2023/2025 but kills 2026 - Guard candidate regime gate REFUTED (ch 11) - Script: book/scripts/regime_gate_bt.py - Results: book/data/regime_gate/regime_gate_trip_rates.csv