# ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- # EXP 14 - Strategy B (enhanced): reference model + OptimalStopControlV2. # # Model = RankICEnsembleLGBModel (5-seed RankIC-early-stopped LGB), identical to # Strategy A. Strategy = OptimalStopControlV2 (tac_qlib.contrib.strategy. # optimal_stop_v2) with the controls that address OptimalStopControl's documented # weaknesses: # - turnover / cost control: rebalance_band=0.05 (skip small rebalances), # cooldown_days=3 (no whipsaw re-entries), max_turnover=0.30 (cap daily # traded notional, priority exits > opens > rebalances) # - robust thresholds (no valid-window overfit): entry 0.85 / exit 0.70 / # max_hold 10 / min_hold 2 / sl -0.08 # Sizing = equal-weight control (risk_degree fraction of total value split # across targets) - the "proper allocation" that replaces cash-heuristic sizing. # # Run: # rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/b_optstop_v2.yaml \ # experiment_name=tac-rd-optstop-v2 # ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- {%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %} {%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %} {%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %} qlib_init: provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}" region: us expression_cache: null dataset_cache: null calendar_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US instrument_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US markets: {} feature_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US exp_manager: class: MLflowExpManager module_path: qlib.workflow.expm kwargs: uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db" default_exp_name: "tac-rd-optstop-v2" task: model: class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble kwargs: loss: mse learning_rate: 0.02 num_leaves: 31 n_estimators: 3000 num_boost_round: 3000 early_stopping_rounds: 200 min_data_in_leaf: 20 lambda_l2: 0.5 colsample_bytree: 0.8 subsample: 0.8 subsample_freq: 1 reg_alpha: 0.1 reg_lambda: 1.0 seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123" dataset: class: DatasetH module_path: qlib.data.dataset kwargs: handler: class: TACHandler module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler kwargs: instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}" start_time: 2015-01-03 end_time: 2026-08-14 fit_start_time: 2016-01-04 fit_end_time: 2025-09-01 freq: day lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1" feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}" infer_processors: - class: DropAllNaN kwargs: {} - class: ProcessInf kwargs: {} - class: CSRankNorm kwargs: {} - class: ZScoreNorm kwargs: {} - class: Fillna kwargs: {} segments: train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01] valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03] test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10] record: - class: SignalRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: {} - class: SigAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: ana_long_short: true ann_scaler: 252 - class: PortAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: config: strategy: class: OptimalStopControlV2 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.optimal_stop_v2 kwargs: signal: "" topk: 10 entry_pct: 0.85 exit_pct: 0.70 max_hold_days: 10 min_hold_days: 2 sl: -0.08 risk_degree: 0.95 notional: 20000 rebalance_band: 0.05 cooldown_days: 3 max_turnover: 0.30 backtest: start_time: 2026-01-04 end_time: 2026-08-10 account: 1000000 benchmark: SPY exchange_kwargs: codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}" deal_price: $close freq: day open_cost: 0.0005 close_cost: 0.0015 min_cost: 5.0 risk_analysis_freq: 1d