# ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- # EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline. # # Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference # (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the # 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time. # # Run: # rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \ # experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit # ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- {%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %} {%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %} {%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %} qlib_init: provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}" region: us expression_cache: null dataset_cache: null calendar_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US instrument_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US markets: {} feature_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US exp_manager: class: MLflowExpManager module_path: qlib.workflow.expm kwargs: uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db" default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit" task: model: class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble kwargs: loss: mse learning_rate: 0.02 num_leaves: 31 n_estimators: 3000 num_boost_round: 3000 early_stopping_rounds: 200 min_data_in_leaf: 20 lambda_l2: 0.5 colsample_bytree: 0.8 subsample: 0.8 subsample_freq: 1 reg_alpha: 0.1 reg_lambda: 1.0 seeds: "42,7" weight_mode: rolling_ic rolling_ic_window: 21 parallel: 2 dataset: class: DatasetH module_path: qlib.data.dataset kwargs: handler: class: TACHandler module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler kwargs: instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}" start_time: 2015-01-03 end_time: 2026-08-14 fit_start_time: 2016-01-04 fit_end_time: 2025-09-01 freq: day lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1" feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}" infer_processors: - class: DropAllNaN kwargs: {} - class: ProcessInf kwargs: {} - class: CSRankNorm kwargs: {} - class: ZScoreNorm kwargs: {} - class: Fillna kwargs: {} segments: train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01] valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03] test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10] record: - class: SignalRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: {} - class: SigAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: ana_long_short: true ann_scaler: 252 - class: PortAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: config: strategy: class: TopkDropoutStrategy module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy kwargs: signal: "" topk: 10 n_drop: 2 only_tradable: true risk_degree: 0.95 backtest: start_time: 2026-01-04 end_time: 2026-08-10 account: 1000000 benchmark: SPY exchange_kwargs: codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}" deal_price: $close freq: day open_cost: 0.0005 close_cost: 0.0015 min_cost: 5.0 risk_analysis_freq: 1d