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938192e900
finish experiment 40 (exp/40-q08-risk-limit-ab-on-exp-26-reference-si)
zhaoli
2026-08-20 00:28:51 +00:00
507846cee1
start experiment 40 (exp/40-q08-risk-limit-ab-on-exp-26-reference-si)
zhaoli
2026-08-20 00:26:39 +00:00
7eb044d669
finish experiment 39 (exp/39-q07-weekly-rebalance-recompute-topkdropo)
exp/39-q07-weekly-rebalance-recompute-topkdropo
zhaoli
2026-08-20 00:20:18 +00:00
59839ff487
add q07 weekly workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:33:57 +00:00
20b99fbe09
start experiment 39 (exp/39-q07-weekly-rebalance-recompute-topkdropo)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:33:53 +00:00
84d20216f1
finish experiment 38 (exp/38-q06-kelly-sizing-score-magnitude-fractio)
exp/38-q06-kelly-sizing-score-magnitude-fractio
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:33:21 +00:00
cdfd3105aa
add q06 kelly workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:28:40 +00:00
2b3ff82e9c
start experiment 38 (exp/38-q06-kelly-sizing-score-magnitude-fractio)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:28:29 +00:00
df44edc51a
finish experiment 37 (exp/37-q05-label22d-22d-forward-return-label-vs)
exp/37-q05-label22d-22d-forward-return-label-vs
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:04:55 +00:00
39d330a36a
add q05 label22d workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:01:29 +00:00
3c9cbb6027
start experiment 37 (exp/37-q05-label22d-22d-forward-return-label-vs)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:01:24 +00:00
4971a9fe83
finish experiment 36 (exp/36-q04-label10d-10d-forward-return-label-vs)
exp/36-q04-label10d-10d-forward-return-label-vs
zhaoli
2026-08-19 23:00:45 +00:00
a4bfb93098
add q04 label10d workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:57:50 +00:00
2472f458f2
start experiment 36 (exp/36-q04-label10d-10d-forward-return-label-vs)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:57:35 +00:00
09dd89b42f
finish experiment 35 (exp/35-q03-topk20-widen-topkdropout-portfolio-f)
exp/35-q03-topk20-widen-topkdropout-portfolio-f
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:56:54 +00:00
49f8ba2b54
add q03 topk20 workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:50:15 +00:00
c7ac70bec1
start experiment 35 (exp/35-q03-topk20-widen-topkdropout-portfolio-f)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:49:38 +00:00
df69acfe4c
finish experiment 34 (exp/34-q02-seed10-10-seed-rankicensemble-vs-ref)
exp/34-q02-seed10-10-seed-rankicensemble-vs-ref
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:48:47 +00:00
83dc916e0b
add q02 seed10 workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:42:24 +00:00
978ecc552e
start experiment 34 (exp/34-q02-seed10-10-seed-rankicensemble-vs-ref)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:41:09 +00:00
66cf0a149f
finish experiment 33 (exp/33-q01-m2-reproduction-add-spsharpe22-to-th)
exp/33-q01-m2-reproduction-add-spsharpe22-to-th
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:40:28 +00:00
6a1b05db2e
add q01 m2 repro workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:30:10 +00:00
c7fc73180c
start experiment 33 (exp/33-q01-m2-reproduction-add-spsharpe22-to-th)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 22:05:08 +00:00
c0eb65efa7
queue: pre-registered experiment backlog to prove better-trading-performance hypotheses
zhaoli
2026-08-19 15:30:46 +00:00
9915a82d38
finish experiment 32 (exp/32-scheduled-daily-retrain-for-round-target)
exp/32-scheduled-daily-retrain-for-round-target
zhaoli
2026-08-19 15:06:31 +00:00
c2edfe6671
start experiment 32 (exp/32-scheduled-daily-retrain-for-round-target)
zhaoli
2026-08-19 14:42:10 +00:00
436692a620
book: insert ch01 metrics vocabulary + ch02 research loop; renumber 03/06 — evidence exp 21-31, martingale study
TradeAC Book Agent
2026-08-18 23:04:10 +00:00
3562b7f776
book: evidence boundary (clean-lake watermark) + ch02 cost reality + ch05 clean-lake reset — exp 21-31, chat mining
master
TradeAC Book Agent
2026-08-18 22:45:11 +00:00
c93424e76c
book: scaffold + ch00 (execution trail as spine) — evidence exp 8-31, round 3
TradeAC Book Agent
2026-08-18 22:35:23 +00:00
483a86e47f
finish experiment 31 (exp/31-isolation-run-m3-does-adding-garch11-vol)
exp/30-isolation-run-m2-does-adding-risk-adjust
zhaoli
2026-08-18 21:41:40 +00:00
e660b4f2dd
finish experiment 30 (exp/30-isolation-run-m2-does-adding-risk-adjust)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 20:13:22 +00:00
201adf18a4
finish experiment 29 (exp/29-isolation-run-m1-does-adding-multi-horiz)
exp/31-isolation-run-m3-does-adding-garch11-vol
zhaoli
2026-08-18 16:30:01 +00:00
4e1debccba
M2 isolation: base + sp_sharpe_22 (trace 30)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:54:24 +00:00
5439887711
M3 isolation: base + garch trio (trace 31)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:54:24 +00:00
196b16c9dc
start experiment 31 (exp/31-isolation-run-m3-does-adding-garch11-vol)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:52:39 +00:00
cb18467a6d
start experiment 30 (exp/30-isolation-run-m2-does-adding-risk-adjust)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:52:33 +00:00
7f7941d256
start experiment 29 (exp/29-isolation-run-m1-does-adding-multi-horiz)
exp/29-isolation-run-m1-does-adding-multi-horiz
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:52:31 +00:00
a9e4464668
finish experiment 28 (exp/28-isolate-the-seed-count-effect-on-the-ndr)
exp/28-isolate-the-seed-count-effect-on-the-ndr
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:48:50 +00:00
ea75065fb5
exp 28: add 2-seed comparison workflow (exp28) seeded on exp26 template
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:32:33 +00:00
06e3b16544
start experiment 28 (exp/28-isolate-the-seed-count-effect-on-the-ndr)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:26:42 +00:00
7460d5fe01
finish experiment 27 (exp/27-scheduled-algo-retrain-on-2026-08-17-tac)
exp/27-scheduled-algo-retrain-on-2026-08-17-tac
zhaoli
2026-08-18 15:09:51 +00:00
337f99222d
start experiment 27 (exp/27-scheduled-algo-retrain-on-2026-08-17-tac)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 14:20:55 +00:00
894ac260a6
finish experiment 26 (exp/26-test-whether-reducing-topkdropout-daily)
exp/26-test-whether-reducing-topkdropout-daily
zhaoli
2026-08-18 14:05:47 +00:00
eba4121708
finish experiment 25 (exp/25-test-the-clean-data-hypothesis-that-addi)
exp/25-test-the-clean-data-hypothesis-that-addi
zhaoli
2026-08-18 14:03:47 +00:00
c455000a1e
exp26: compact stochastic, n_drop 1 (workflow only)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 12:10:29 +00:00
93cb283ef3
exp25: compact stochastic + sp_ou_zscore, n_drop 2 (workflow only)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 12:10:05 +00:00
5c7b2265f4
start experiment 26 (exp/26-test-whether-reducing-topkdropout-daily)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 10:03:21 +00:00
a1d2918736
start experiment 25 (exp/25-test-the-clean-data-hypothesis-that-addi)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 10:03:20 +00:00
c724682f3a
finish experiment 24 (exp/24-run-the-rankic-ensemble-in-mlflow-experi)
exp/24-run-the-rankic-ensemble-in-mlflow-experi
zhaoli
2026-08-18 09:00:11 +00:00
59e733d88d
exp 24: add exact compact stochastic feature workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-18 08:03:37 +00:00
1fcadbfe86
start experiment 24 (exp/24-run-the-rankic-ensemble-in-mlflow-experi)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 08:02:27 +00:00
a718424340
finish experiment 23 (exp/23-test-whether-the-5-day-rankic-ensemble-i)
exp/23-test-whether-the-5-day-rankic-ensemble-i
zhaoli
2026-08-18 07:58:20 +00:00
adf0bfa812
exp 23: add general stochastic feature ablation workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-18 07:21:33 +00:00
b5054ccc25
start experiment 23 (exp/23-test-whether-the-5-day-rankic-ensemble-i)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 07:20:27 +00:00
3d845306fe
finish experiment 22 (exp/22-re-run-experiment-16s-5-day-rankic-ensem)
exp/22-re-run-experiment-16s-5-day-rankic-ensem
zhaoli
2026-08-18 07:17:36 +00:00
1075525d6e
exp 22: add validated TA SP ensemble workflow
zhaoli
2026-08-18 06:38:55 +00:00
63c1ea763e
start experiment 22 (exp/22-re-run-experiment-16s-5-day-rankic-ensem)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 06:38:28 +00:00
5153d04983
finish experiment 21 (exp/21-clean-lake-re-execution-of-the-tac-rd-ra)
exp/21-clean-lake-re-execution-of-the-tac-rd-ra
zhaoli
2026-08-18 01:49:30 +00:00
ab919245c2
start experiment 21 (exp/21-clean-lake-re-execution-of-the-tac-rd-ra)
zhaoli
2026-08-18 01:14:24 +00:00
202589fc3e
exp 20: add deterministic baseline (parallel=1) to isolate LightGBM non-determinism as root cause of exp18 vs R0 divergence
exp/20-improve-the-risk-limit-reference-signal
zhaoli
2026-08-17 09:59:26 +00:00
3ded27e5f9
finish experiment 20 (exp/20-improve-the-risk-limit-reference-signal)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 09:33:24 +00:00
125be7b96f
exp 20: add R0 same-env 5-seed TopkDropout baseline (fair base for R2/R3/R5; pre-reset exp18 baseline is not comparable across env resets)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 07:16:03 +00:00
20857f76be
exp 20: rerun R2/R3/R5 with 5 seeds for fair comparison vs 5-seed baseline
zhaoli
2026-08-17 05:52:48 +00:00
9c0cf096f8
finish experiment 20 (exp/20-improve-the-risk-limit-reference-signal)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 05:46:09 +00:00
80c7230e17
exp 20: sync fixed MomentumGateTopk + HmmRiskTopk + rolling-IC rank_ensemble into code snapshot
zhaoli
2026-08-17 04:08:07 +00:00
07e78c2bd9
exp 20: r4 rolling-IC blend uses 5 seeds (needs seed diversity for the IC weighting)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 04:04:38 +00:00
e09ab7f05a
exp 20: exp 20: 5 improvement workflows (R1 2seed, R2 momentum gate, R3 HMM risk gate, R4 rolling-IC blend, R5 MA3/EWMA features) + strategy modules + lake sma_3/ema_3 persisted
zhaoli
2026-08-17 02:56:46 +00:00
337f6e17d8
start experiment 20 (exp/20-improve-the-risk-limit-reference-signal)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 02:55:26 +00:00
7fad62a4ef
finish experiment 18 (exp/18-risk-limit-control-on-the-reference-ense)
exp/18-risk-limit-control-on-the-reference-ense
zhaoli
2026-08-17 01:14:23 +00:00
b5eb4c2212
start experiment 19 (exp/19-martingale-study-on-the-73-symbol-lake-u)
exp/19-martingale-study-on-the-73-symbol-lake-u
zhaoli
2026-08-17 00:56:13 +00:00
f9ef005e9a
exp 18: exp 18: risk-limit control - baseline workflow YAML + calibration notes
zhaoli
2026-08-17 00:07:32 +00:00
c09997c7e2
start experiment 18 (exp/18-risk-limit-control-on-the-reference-ense)
zhaoli
2026-08-17 00:05:51 +00:00
c78ea439c0
finish experiment 17 (exp/17-short-3-month-lake-workflow-lgbmodel-mse)
exp/17-short-3-month-lake-workflow-lgbmodel-mse
zhaoli
2026-08-16 14:56:12 +00:00
7121155291
exp 17: add short 3-month lake workflow yaml
zhaoli
2026-08-16 14:55:33 +00:00
b84edbd2d7
start experiment 17 (exp/17-short-3-month-lake-workflow-lgbmodel-mse)
zhaoli
2026-08-16 14:55:20 +00:00
2c2684b103
start experiment 16 (16-scheduled-algo-retrain-on-20260814-tacrd)
exp/16-scheduled-algo-retrain-on-20260814-tacrd
zhaoli
2026-08-15 05:14:48 +00:00
bae78d4fbb
exp 15: fix KellyWeightStrategy - subclass WeightStrategyBase (order_generator), add topk gate; sync venv
exp/15-fractionalkelly-position-sizing-on-the-r
zhaoli
2026-08-15 00:45:57 +00:00
1b5f4d1e76
exp 15: fractional-Kelly sizing A/B (A TopkDropout baseline, B KellyWeightStrategy) with parallel RankICEnsembleLGBModel
zhaoli
2026-08-14 22:39:44 +00:00
875222a85a
exp 14: enhanced stochastic-control allocation - workflow YAMLs (A: TopkDropout baseline, B: OptimalStopControlV2)
exp/14-enhanced-stochasticcontrol-allocation-fo
zhaoli
2026-08-14 14:46:30 +00:00
c634cf6eca
exp 13: optstop isolation workflow yaml (OptimalStopControl over ensemble signal) + finish record
exp/13-portfolioconstruction-variant-of-the-iso
zhaoli
2026-08-14 10:29:57 +00:00
32477c7bb8
exp 12: isolation ensemble workflow yaml (ablate-B features + full history) + finish record
exp/12-isolate-the-multiseed-rankic-ensemble-ef
zhaoli
2026-08-14 05:37:13 +00:00
f9d1fe66f6
exp 11 (sp5d-moment-features): variant C 35-field workflow + result NEGATIVE vs generic-only 19
exp/11-sp5d-momentfeature-extension-after-exten
zhaoli
2026-08-13 13:21:39 +00:00
e657c58758
start exp 9 (sp5d-feature-family-ablation): baseline all-24 + generic-only 19 workflow YAMLs
exp/9-sp5d-feature-family-ablation
zhaoli
2026-08-13 04:32:30 +00:00
d03ad94745
exp 7: add workflow yaml
exp/7-baseline-lightgbm-on-60etf-lake-ta-featu
zhaoli
2026-08-13 02:14:56 +00:00
fd5382caa4
first commit
main
exp/8-baseline-lightgbm-on-the-full-60etf-univ
Traco Dev
2026-08-13 08:31:03 +08:00