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| Author | SHA1 | Date | |
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2c4cb94001 |
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-15
@@ -1,34 +1,25 @@
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# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
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# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
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# parent repo HEAD : ee5aa8e73c5286860d3ec1dfa6001bf0f8b6690d
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# parent repo HEAD : fd5382caa4c4e96417a16d5a22006d9a7d625d00
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
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# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
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# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
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1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
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1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
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e21663470e4ab108691392c3f0bcff0a3e7fe459 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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2224424d0ff193be4f55d1b791f8fce89439c5d2 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/backtest/__init__.py
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2224424d0ff193be4f55d1b791f8fce89439c5d2 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/backtest/__init__.py
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0bf40dee440ddbded357d7bbb4efc67c62c4b084 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/backtest/tradeac_exchange.py
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0bf40dee440ddbded357d7bbb4efc67c62c4b084 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/backtest/tradeac_exchange.py
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c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
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c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
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a5c6952e9c8bab2c83fd8030416999726aea73d9 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
3bba0f1696e4ab4b3deebec3f31f269b2e713899 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
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39f148bef96fcce8f548d74c6d338eccdc4145e3 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/handler.cpython-312.pyc
|
|
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fc3d01d530d4e84b3386614b6ac94324e811920e tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
|
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b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
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b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
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f76257db439b030d84ecea2b8ae67079bae4dc6f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
|
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858f5fcbe285642569c214d5803edbae1e5dfa1e tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_ensemble.cpython-312.pyc
|
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7de125f7f263c554b3337138c760d44394b4824a tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_gbdt.cpython-312.pyc
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d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
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d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
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d03e6611338918d4aac5eea4adf26f85a3763652 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
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d03e6611338918d4aac5eea4adf26f85a3763652 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
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184f80da8edf944bad3c8fb4d4d3d189bf4f082b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
|
184f80da8edf944bad3c8fb4d4d3d189bf4f082b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
|
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6893c2097f0de110909f3f5076ac1c32ac5b742b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
|
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423ec5cd15b273c119ba3b1d7dc7467fc6ba41c4 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/long_short.cpython-312.pyc
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b6b3238699337d559868cb5f8e0c3e900e5da0cf tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
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896ef74ae47bcd1ed388e1e5d9c8d70c28097fe9 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/kelly_dropout.py
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896ef74ae47bcd1ed388e1e5d9c8d70c28097fe9 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/kelly_dropout.py
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9090fc6dfbd339f2f4df4b0c9b87f400ecb5c9d5 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/long_short.py
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9090fc6dfbd339f2f4df4b0c9b87f400ecb5c9d5 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/long_short.py
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79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
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79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
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5b9acfb4340111b204249add7760bd53c6ae03f1 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/regime_gate.py
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5b9acfb4340111b204249add7760bd53c6ae03f1 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/regime_gate.py
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fe60bacdfedd48617863be31f24b7c7daebfac5a tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/weekly_rebalance.py
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839abb89ad40cd516eabcfd91fe1be626b9f091f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/weekly_rebalance.py
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92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
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92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
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fa1090eb6f17b1b7835038e35fac86334294d165 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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6963ba16f49411450562d381fd6ba89e4a7b3e28 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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48629a1f51bd4058036ce78d79ed49454982c051 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
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fb3c8faf2701e3e2e5abf9a8958f2684783fbd74 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
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ad7c9b726c9c52773fa82031fcd681337be97fa8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
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67cc6fa7b0fe0a87b1882dd736123ffead6a5163 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
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1953fb2a6371525db7f7b0e1c9dfbf3492d82110 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
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1953fb2a6371525db7f7b0e1c9dfbf3492d82110 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
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8d0644f6f0d1efb94798ed444cc73e63b643459b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
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8d0644f6f0d1efb94798ed444cc73e63b643459b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
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@@ -15,6 +15,9 @@ import os
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from inspect import getfullargspec
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from inspect import getfullargspec
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from typing import List, Optional, Tuple, Union
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from typing import List, Optional, Tuple, Union
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import numpy as np
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import pandas as pd
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from qlib.data.dataset import processor as processor_module
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from qlib.data.dataset import processor as processor_module
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from qlib.data.dataset.handler import DataHandlerLP
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from qlib.data.dataset.handler import DataHandlerLP
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from qlib.utils import get_callable_kwargs
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from qlib.utils import get_callable_kwargs
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@@ -144,6 +147,174 @@ class DropAllNaN(processor_module.Processor):
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return df
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return df
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class BenchResidual(processor_module.Processor):
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"""Subtract a benchmark instrument's forward return from the label, per datetime.
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Turns the training target from an absolute-return rank into a *residual* rank:
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``r_i - r_bench`` is ranked cross-sectionally by the downstream ``CSRankNorm`` /
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``CSZScoreNorm`` processors instead of ``r_i`` alone. Must be inserted BEFORE any
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per-date normalization so the ranking itself is computed on residual returns
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(ordering flips exactly where the benchmark trends).
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Stateless: ``fit`` is a no-op and the benchmark forward return is recomputed from
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the lake parquet on first ``__call__``. Rows whose benchmark value is missing are
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left untouched. Accepts ``fit_start_time``/``fit_end_time`` (ignored) so
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``check_transform_proc`` can inject the fit window uniformly.
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NOTE: under any cross-sectional normalization downstream (``CSRankNorm`` /
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``CSZScoreNorm``) this processor is a mathematical no-op: subtracting the same
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per-date constant preserves ranks, and z-scoring absorbs constant shifts. Use
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``BenchBetaResidual`` for a target that actually reorders.
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"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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benchmark="SPY",
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fields_group="label",
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lake_root=None,
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market="US",
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timeframe=None,
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freq="day",
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fit_start_time=None,
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fit_end_time=None,
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):
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self.benchmark = benchmark
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self.fields_group = fields_group
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self.lake_root = lake_root
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self.market = market
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self.timeframe = timeframe or timeframe_for_freq(freq)
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self.fit_start_time = fit_start_time
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self.fit_end_time = fit_end_time
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self._bench_label = None
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def _load_bench_label(self):
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if self._bench_label is not None:
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return self._bench_label
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cfg = LakeConfig(self.lake_root, self.market)
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p = cfg.bar_path(self.timeframe, self.benchmark)
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if not p.exists():
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"BenchResidual: benchmark bar file not found: {p}")
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df = pd.read_parquet(p)
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s = pd.Series(df["c"].astype(float).values, index=pd.to_datetime(df["t"])).sort_index()
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s.index = s.index.normalize()
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# mirror Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1 on the benchmark's own calendar
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bench_label = s.shift(-6) / s.shift(-1) - 1
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self._bench_label = bench_label[~bench_label.index.duplicated(keep="last")]
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return self._bench_label
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def fit(self, df=None):
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return self
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def __call__(self, df):
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bl = self._load_bench_label()
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cols = processor_module.get_group_columns(df, self.fields_group)
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dt = df.index.get_level_values("datetime")
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aligned = bl.reindex(pd.DatetimeIndex(dt.unique())).reindex(dt)
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mask = aligned.notna().values
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out = df.copy()
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for c in cols:
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vals = df[c].values
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res = vals.copy()
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res[mask] = np.asarray(vals[mask], dtype=float) - aligned[mask].values
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out[c] = res
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return out
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class BenchBetaResidual(processor_module.Processor):
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"""Residualize the label against a beta-scaled benchmark move: ``r_i - b_i * r_bench``.
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Unlike a plain constant subtraction (see ``BenchResidual``), the name-specific rolling
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beta ``b_i`` makes this survive cross-sectional normalization: in up-weeks high-beta
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names lose rank, in down-weeks they gain — exactly the relative structure an absolute-
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return ranking hides.
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Beta is estimated from *past* data only (rolling ``window`` trading days of daily close
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returns of each instrument vs the benchmark, both read up to and including ``t``), so
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no lookahead enters the target. The benchmark leg uses the same horizon as the label
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expression (``Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1`` by default via ``horizon``/``base``,
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matching the yaml's 6-day label). Rows with missing beta or benchmark values keep
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their raw label.
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Requires ``$close`` to be present in the feature group (it always is for TACHandler).
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Stateless; accepts ``fit_start_time``/``fit_end_time`` (ignored) for uniform kwargs
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injection. Must be inserted BEFORE any per-date normalization processor.
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"""
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def __init__(
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self,
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benchmark="SPY",
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fields_group="label",
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lake_root=None,
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market="US",
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timeframe=None,
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freq="day",
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window=63,
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horizon=6,
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base=1,
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feature_field="$close",
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fit_start_time=None,
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fit_end_time=None,
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):
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self.benchmark = benchmark
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self.fields_group = fields_group
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self.lake_root = lake_root
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self.market = market
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self.timeframe = timeframe or timeframe_for_freq(freq)
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self.window = int(window)
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self.horizon = int(horizon)
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self.base = int(base)
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self.feature_field = feature_field
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self.fit_start_time = fit_start_time
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self.fit_end_time = fit_end_time
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self._bench = None
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def _load_bench_close(self):
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if self._bench is not None:
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return self._bench
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cfg = LakeConfig(self.lake_root, self.market)
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p = cfg.bar_path(self.timeframe, self.benchmark)
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if not p.exists():
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raise FileNotFoundError(f"BenchBetaResidual: benchmark bar file not found: {p}")
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df = pd.read_parquet(p)
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s = pd.Series(df["c"].astype(float).values, index=pd.to_datetime(df["t"])).sort_index()
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s.index = s.index.normalize()
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self._bench = s[~s.index.duplicated(keep="last")]
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return self._bench
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def fit(self, df=None):
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return self
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def __call__(self, df):
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bench = self._load_bench_close()
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# benchmark forward return over the same horizon as the label expression
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fwd = bench.shift(-(self.base + self.horizon - 1)) / bench.shift(-self.base) - 1
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px_col = ("feature", self.feature_field)
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if px_col not in df.columns:
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raise KeyError(f"BenchBetaResidual: {self.feature_field} not found in features")
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px = df[px_col].unstack("instrument").sort_index()
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rets = px / px.shift(1) - 1
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bret = bench.reindex(px.index).pct_change()
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# rolling beta per instrument using data <= t (no lookahead)
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cov = rets.rolling(self.window, min_periods=max(10, self.window // 2)).cov(bret)
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var = bret.rolling(self.window, min_periods=max(10, self.window // 2)).var()
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beta = cov.div(var, axis=0)
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contrib = beta.mul(fwd.reindex(px.index), axis=0)
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|
cols = list(processor_module.get_group_columns(df, self.fields_group))
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|
out = df.copy()
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|
for c in cols:
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|
lab = df[c].unstack("instrument").reindex(px.index)
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resid = lab - contrib.where(contrib.notna() & lab.notna(), 0.0)
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new_vals = resid.stack()
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new_vals.index.names = df.index.names
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# residual where available, raw label otherwise (e.g. beta warm-up rows)
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out[c] = new_vals.reindex(out.index).fillna(df[c])
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return out
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class TACHandler(DataHandlerLP):
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class TACHandler(DataHandlerLP):
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"""DataHandlerLP backed by the TradeAC parquet lake.
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"""DataHandlerLP backed by the TradeAC parquet lake.
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@@ -246,10 +417,12 @@ class TACHandler(DataHandlerLP):
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return get_common_feature_fields(lake_root, market, timeframe_for_freq(freq))
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return get_common_feature_fields(lake_root, market, timeframe_for_freq(freq))
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|
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|
|
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__all__ = ["TACHandler", "DropAllNaN", "get_common_feature_fields"]
|
__all__ = ["TACHandler", "DropAllNaN", "BenchResidual", "BenchBetaResidual", "get_common_feature_fields"]
|
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|
|
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|
|
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# Make `DropAllNaN` resolvable by bare name from processor configs (e.g. the default
|
# Make `DropAllNaN`/`BenchResidual`/`BenchBetaResidual` resolvable by bare name from processor
|
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# ``infer_processors`` and workflow yamls that reference it without a ``module_path``),
|
# configs (e.g. the default ``infer_processors`` and workflow yamls that reference them without a
|
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# mirroring how qlib registers its own processors in ``qlib.data.dataset.processor``.
|
# ``module_path``), mirroring how qlib registers its own processors in ``qlib.data.dataset.processor``.
|
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processor_module.DropAllNaN = DropAllNaN
|
processor_module.DropAllNaN = DropAllNaN
|
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|
processor_module.BenchResidual = BenchResidual
|
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|
processor_module.BenchBetaResidual = BenchBetaResidual
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@@ -37,11 +37,20 @@ class WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy(TopkDropoutStrategy):
|
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forbid_all_trade_at_limit : same as ``TopkDropoutStrategy``.
|
forbid_all_trade_at_limit : same as ``TopkDropoutStrategy``.
|
||||||
hold_band_pct : skip order for a name whose deviation from target weight is
|
hold_band_pct : skip order for a name whose deviation from target weight is
|
||||||
below this fraction of the target (no-trade buffer band).
|
below this fraction of the target (no-trade buffer band).
|
||||||
|
rebalance_every_n_weeks : rebalance every N ISO weeks instead of every week
|
||||||
|
(default 1 = weekly; 2 = biweekly). Ignored when
|
||||||
|
``rebalance_every_n_days`` is set.
|
||||||
|
rebalance_every_n_days : rebalance every N trading days (daily when N=1).
|
||||||
|
When set, overrides the weekly gating logic entirely.
|
||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __init__(self, *, topk, n_drop, hold_band_pct: float = DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT, **kwargs):
|
def __init__(self, *, topk, n_drop, hold_band_pct: float = DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT,
|
||||||
|
rebalance_every_n_weeks: int = 1,
|
||||||
|
rebalance_every_n_days: int = 0, **kwargs):
|
||||||
super().__init__(topk=topk, n_drop=n_drop, **kwargs)
|
super().__init__(topk=topk, n_drop=n_drop, **kwargs)
|
||||||
self.hold_band_pct = hold_band_pct
|
self.hold_band_pct = hold_band_pct
|
||||||
|
self.rebalance_every_n_weeks = rebalance_every_n_weeks
|
||||||
|
self.rebalance_every_n_days = rebalance_every_n_days
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@staticmethod
|
@staticmethod
|
||||||
def _iso_week(ts) -> tuple:
|
def _iso_week(ts) -> tuple:
|
||||||
@@ -53,13 +62,25 @@ class WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy(TopkDropoutStrategy):
|
|||||||
trade_step = self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step()
|
trade_step = self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step()
|
||||||
trade_start_time, trade_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step)
|
trade_start_time, trade_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
cur_week = self._iso_week(trade_start_time)
|
if self.rebalance_every_n_days > 0:
|
||||||
prev_week = getattr(self, "_last_week", None)
|
# daily gating: count trading steps since last rebalance
|
||||||
self._last_week = cur_week
|
step_num = trade_step
|
||||||
|
if hasattr(self, "_last_rebal_step"):
|
||||||
|
if (step_num - self._last_rebal_step) < self.rebalance_every_n_days:
|
||||||
|
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
||||||
|
self._last_rebal_step = step_num
|
||||||
|
else:
|
||||||
|
cur_week = self._iso_week(trade_start_time)
|
||||||
|
prev_week = getattr(self, "_last_week", None)
|
||||||
|
self._last_week = cur_week
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if prev_week is not None and prev_week == cur_week:
|
if prev_week is not None and prev_week == cur_week:
|
||||||
# not the first trading day of this ISO week -> hold
|
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
|
||||||
|
if self.rebalance_every_n_weeks > 1:
|
||||||
|
week_num = cur_week[1]
|
||||||
|
if prev_week is not None and (week_num % self.rebalance_every_n_weeks) != 1:
|
||||||
|
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
pred_start_time, pred_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step, shift=1)
|
pred_start_time, pred_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step, shift=1)
|
||||||
pred_score = self.signal.get_signal(start_time=pred_start_time, end_time=pred_end_time)
|
pred_score = self.signal.get_signal(start_time=pred_start_time, end_time=pred_end_time)
|
||||||
|
|||||||
Binary file not shown.
Binary file not shown.
Binary file not shown.
@@ -1,133 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
# ABLATION A (baseline): LightGBM with RankIC early-stopping on the 50-ETF SP-5d
|
|
||||||
# panel, using ALL 24 sp_* feature columns (ou,hmm,jump,har,trend,hurst,
|
|
||||||
# signature). Copy of the canonical workflow_lgb_sp5d_rankic.yaml with a
|
|
||||||
# distinct experiment name so the ablation runs are isolated.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Run:
|
|
||||||
# rd_run_workflow config_path=tac-qlib/workflows/ablate_baseline_all_sp_fields.yaml \
|
|
||||||
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ablate
|
|
||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_ou_zscore,sp_ou_half_life,sp_ou_revert,sp_hmm_p_regime1,sp_hmm_state,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
markets: {}
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
|
|
||||||
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ablate"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_gbdt
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seed: 42
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- class: DropAllNaN
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ProcessInf
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: CSRankNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: Fillna
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2015-01-03, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- class: SignalRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
ana_long_short: true
|
|
||||||
ann_scaler: 252
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
signal: "<PRED>"
|
|
||||||
topk: 10
|
|
||||||
n_drop: 2
|
|
||||||
only_tradable: true
|
|
||||||
risk_degree: 0.95
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,134 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
# ABLATION B (generic-only): same panel/model as the baseline, but feature
|
|
||||||
# fields restricted to the model-free / generic stochastic-process families
|
|
||||||
# (jump,har,trend,hurst,signature). Drops the model-specific ou (OU/AR-1
|
|
||||||
# half-life) and hmm (2-state regime) families to test whether the generic
|
|
||||||
# families alone dominate the rank dimension.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Run:
|
|
||||||
# rd_run_workflow config_path=tac-qlib/workflows/ablate_generic_only_sp_fields.yaml \
|
|
||||||
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ablate
|
|
||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
markets: {}
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
|
|
||||||
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ablate"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_gbdt
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seed: 42
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- class: DropAllNaN
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ProcessInf
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: CSRankNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: Fillna
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2015-01-03, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- class: SignalRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
ana_long_short: true
|
|
||||||
ann_scaler: 252
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
signal: "<PRED>"
|
|
||||||
topk: 10
|
|
||||||
n_drop: 2
|
|
||||||
only_tradable: true
|
|
||||||
risk_degree: 0.95
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,141 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
# ISOLATION: multi-seed RankIC ensemble, ablate-B generic-only feature set.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Isolates the ensemble effect on the SP-5d rank signal. Same panel, segments,
|
|
||||||
# history (full backfilled 2016+) and feature set as the exp-9 ablate-B winner
|
|
||||||
# (generic-only sp_* families: jump,har,trend,hurst,signature), but replaces the
|
|
||||||
# single RankICLGBModel with a 5-seed RankICEnsembleLGBModel (42,7,2026,99,123)
|
|
||||||
# that averages per-day predictions.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Differs from exp-15 (tac-rd-rank-ensemble, mlflow exp 15) ONLY by dropping the
|
|
||||||
# TA subset (rsi_14,roc_10,macd_hist,willr_14,atr_14) and the inter-asset xr_*
|
|
||||||
# features, so any change vs exp-15 is attributable to the feature set alone,
|
|
||||||
# and any change vs exp-9 is attributable to the ensemble + full history alone.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Run:
|
|
||||||
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp12_isolation_ensemble.yaml \
|
|
||||||
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated
|
|
||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
markets: {}
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db"
|
|
||||||
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-14
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- class: DropAllNaN
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ProcessInf
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: CSRankNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: Fillna
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- class: SignalRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
ana_long_short: true
|
|
||||||
ann_scaler: 252
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
signal: "<PRED>"
|
|
||||||
topk: 10
|
|
||||||
n_drop: 2
|
|
||||||
only_tradable: true
|
|
||||||
risk_degree: 0.95
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,97 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Re-run of experiment 16 with validated family=ta and family=sp lake features.
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sma_5,sma_20,ema_12,ema_26,rsi_14,macd,macd_signal,macd_hist,bb_upper,bb_middle,bb_lower,atr_14,adx_14,sp_ret,sp_ou_half_life,sp_ou_revert,sp_ou_zscore,sp_hmm_p_regime1,sp_hmm_state,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp16-db-ta-sp" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,97 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# General stochastic-process feature ablation: no TA, HMM, or OU fields.
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,97 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Exact compact stochastic feature set requested for a new run in MLflow exp 25.
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,98 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Compact stochastic feature set with reduced turnover: n_drop=1 instead of 2.
|
|
||||||
# Same setup as exp24 (compact baseline) but replacing the TopkDropout n_drop 2 with 1.
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user