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3
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| Author | SHA1 | Date | |
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5153d04983 | ||
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ab919245c2 | ||
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2c2684b103 |
+17
-19
@@ -1,29 +1,27 @@
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# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
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# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
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# parent repo HEAD : 81ee9f1a6e70f68a4bc08f28d868bbc1c71a3810
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# parent repo HEAD : ab919245c2f3d6881cd6e16e77e583bbb6d5b000
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
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# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
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# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
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# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
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1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
|
1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
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861592c63edd6a0853a9cb174b5970435b135fc8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
bb903ca28c70ae5802d673d5b85481679f58c286 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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||||||
c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
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c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
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||||||
5c547a2ef92e075e550fe6d01508a2f1d3f536bc tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
9749bb730880371ea7bf9bf0c5ffd78fcf6b5a91 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
4f656130d167e79dcaaeb7783a121f0b36852374 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/handler.cpython-312.pyc
|
9eb94cfac5d41ae20acb12612c219f210d463ab4 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/handler.cpython-312.pyc
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||||||
0dd25ef161c6e0f15eafc84886e7e1381deb38c3 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
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871ff1e163c29261f140c3f53d42a41e6504c779 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
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||||||
b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
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b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
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||||||
b1489f2fc0dee85f0a4f90b2e6ad545ed9c8967b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
d209c3e3e8c2a8683cd337ff3b10c04015f16dc6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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121ef237da1df1b8e21a561c3ad0db200b901339 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_ensemble.cpython-312.pyc
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532527ebe81b269f723c806286122fb5483d0379 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_ensemble.cpython-312.pyc
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74d0da348cbcc3700c96b6f4fe4391488e61efc5 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_gbdt.cpython-312.pyc
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1681c9bc021188c0f134e33e6402f521a9d46e9c tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_gbdt.cpython-312.pyc
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||||||
d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
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d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
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d03e6611338918d4aac5eea4adf26f85a3763652 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
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ccfe7d554989aa7f3e5a2128ae663e51b2207149 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
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b68a974a0bc87a279caed90cf2be4d7e78f9e59f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
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4afcf9058231111c412925f4c4b84e81d656db87 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
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c29e45e562256bf786c36f91a971b097467276e9 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
a6fb3d6c2d111b7ad423939582df67aacb36fead tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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6dd1c568a2961842793674390d5abffd1a0e71b8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
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44ed28758151eb7fa4d388646cb1c6f04b450d8c tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
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519a1f4c05dbe0ac018ab8b779eb33d53b4dd545 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/ic_gate.py
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79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
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79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
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fe60bacdfedd48617863be31f24b7c7daebfac5a tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/weekly_rebalance.py
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92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
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92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
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316bf4aa160cc8d15929ea648be03f4b4999667d tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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319e3f728b093d6c483eb29de42617a45ee88830 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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554a3f29d181b64effbf49a8161b32e7f93d8d3e tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
|
08a7dcbcf3f34bdb784d3b16c04daf265d04ae5f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
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8b47f6d78ac046b6b7b2fb07bd7f3382773ffb73 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
|
47337bd1e54b6e333f26a9088d645ed48fbc44f6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
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53c9007a928841fd3c3b08450f9a6520ce1ac091 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
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686d36f6d101c547491ca866aa143aa542e17518 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
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8d0644f6f0d1efb94798ed444cc73e63b643459b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
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d9f839be30026f337754a3f015425a8efdbe8e2a tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
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@@ -64,13 +64,9 @@ def check_transform_proc(proc_l, fit_start_time, fit_end_time):
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def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> List[str]:
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def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> List[str]:
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"""Discover feature columns present in *every* feature file of the lake.
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"""Discover ta-lib columns present in *every* features parquet file of the lake.
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Walks the `family=ta|sp` partition layout (plus any legacy flat files).
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Returns sorted field names (without the ``$`` prefix). Empty if no features are persisted.
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TA and SP columns are disjoint by construction, so the common set is
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computed per family (columns shared by all symbol files of that family),
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then the per-family results are unioned. Returns sorted field names
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(without the ``$`` prefix). Empty if no features are persisted.
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"""
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"""
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cfg = LakeConfig(lake_root, market)
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cfg = LakeConfig(lake_root, market)
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feat_dir = cfg.features_dir(timeframe)
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feat_dir = cfg.features_dir(timeframe)
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@@ -78,30 +74,16 @@ def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> Li
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return []
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return []
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import pyarrow.parquet as pq
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import pyarrow.parquet as pq
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def _family_common(fam_dir: Path) -> set:
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common = None
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common = None
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for p in sorted(feat_dir.glob("symbol=*.parquet")):
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for p in sorted(fam_dir.glob("symbol=*.parquet")):
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try:
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try:
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cols = set(pq.read_schema(p).names) - set(NON_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
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cols = set(pq.read_schema(p).names) - set(NON_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
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except Exception: # pragma: no cover - skip unreadable files
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except Exception: # pragma: no cover - skip unreadable files
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continue
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continue
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common = cols if common is None else (common & cols)
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common = cols if common is None else (common & cols)
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if not common:
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if not common:
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break
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break
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return sorted(common) if common else []
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return common or set()
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common: set = set()
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# family tier: features/market=*/timeframe=*/family=*/symbol=*.parquet
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for fam in ("ta", "sp"):
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fam_dir = feat_dir / f"family={fam}"
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if fam_dir.is_dir():
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common |= _family_common(fam_dir)
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# legacy flat: features/market=*/timeframe=*/symbol=*.parquet
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if (feat_dir / "family=ta").exists() or (feat_dir / "family=sp").exists():
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pass # family layout already covered
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else:
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common |= _family_common(feat_dir)
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return sorted(common)
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class DropAllNaN(processor_module.Processor):
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class DropAllNaN(processor_module.Processor):
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@@ -53,61 +53,23 @@ from qlib.workflow import R
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__all__ = ["RankICLGBModel", "rankic_feval"]
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__all__ = ["RankICLGBModel", "rankic_feval"]
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def _group_averaged_rank(values: np.ndarray, gid: np.ndarray, offs: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
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"""Averaged (tie-corrected) rank of ``values`` within each group, vectorized.
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``gid`` maps each row to its group id; ``offs`` holds the cumulative row
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offsets so that group ``i`` occupies rows ``[offs[i], offs[i+1])``. Returns
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the same result as ``pandas.Series.rank(method='average')`` applied per
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group, but in one pass (``np.lexsort`` is the only non-linear step).
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"""
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n = len(values)
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order = np.lexsort((values, gid))
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ord_rank = np.empty(n, dtype=np.float64)
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ord_rank[order] = np.arange(n, dtype=np.float64) - offs[gid[order]] + 1.0
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sg = gid[order]
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sv = values[order]
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newblock = np.empty(n, dtype=bool)
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newblock[0] = True
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newblock[1:] = (sg[1:] != sg[:-1]) | (sv[1:] != sv[:-1])
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blockid = np.cumsum(newblock) - 1
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block_mean = np.bincount(blockid, weights=ord_rank[order]) / np.bincount(blockid)
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out = np.empty(n)
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out[order] = block_mean[blockid]
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return out
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def _per_day_spearman(preds: np.ndarray, labels: np.ndarray, group: np.ndarray) -> float:
|
def _per_day_spearman(preds: np.ndarray, labels: np.ndarray, group: np.ndarray) -> float:
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"""Mean per-day Spearman rank correlation of preds vs labels.
|
"""Mean per-day Spearman rank correlation of preds vs labels.
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``group`` holds the number of rows of each trading day (query group), in
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``group`` holds the number of rows of each trading day (query group), in
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order. Days with <3 valid rows or a constant pred/label are skipped.
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order. Days with <3 valid rows or a constant pred/label are skipped.
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Vectorized: per-day Spearman == Pearson of the per-day rank transforms,
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and the Pearson moments (``sum``, ``sum`` of products/squares) aggregate
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over each day with ``np.bincount``. Runs ~10x faster than the per-day
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``pd.Series.rank()`` loop that preceded it — this feval is invoked on the
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train and valid panels every boosting round, per seed.
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"""
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"""
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if group is None or len(group) == 0:
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if group is None or len(group) == 0:
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return 0.0
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return 0.0
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offs = np.concatenate([[0], np.cumsum(group.astype(int))])
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offs = np.concatenate([[0], np.cumsum(group.astype(int))])
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gid = np.repeat(np.arange(len(group)), group.astype(int))
|
vals = []
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rp = _group_averaged_rank(preds, gid, offs)
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for i in range(len(group)):
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rl = _group_averaged_rank(labels, gid, offs)
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s = slice(offs[i], offs[i + 1])
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n_g = group.astype(float)
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p, l = preds[s], labels[s]
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s_p = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp)
|
if len(p) < 3 or np.std(p) == 0 or np.std(l) == 0:
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s_l = np.bincount(gid, weights=rl)
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continue
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s_pl = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp * rl)
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vals.append(np.corrcoef(pd.Series(p).rank(), pd.Series(l).rank())[0, 1])
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s_pp = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp * rp)
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return float(np.mean(vals)) if vals else 0.0
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s_ll = np.bincount(gid, weights=rl * rl)
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cov = n_g * s_pl - s_p * s_l
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var_p = n_g * s_pp - s_p ** 2
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var_l = n_g * s_ll - s_l ** 2
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denom = np.sqrt(var_p * var_l)
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valid = (n_g >= 3) & (denom > 0)
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corr = np.where(valid, cov / np.where(denom == 0, 1, denom), 0.0)
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return float(corr[valid].mean()) if valid.any() else 0.0
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def rankic_feval(preds, dataset):
|
def rankic_feval(preds, dataset):
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@@ -1,5 +1,3 @@
|
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from .ic_gate import ICGateTopkDropoutStrategy # noqa: F401
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from .optimal_stop import OptimalStopControl # noqa: F401
|
from .optimal_stop import OptimalStopControl # noqa: F401
|
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from .weekly_rebalance import WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy # noqa: F401
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|
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|
|
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__all__ = ["ICGateTopkDropoutStrategy", "OptimalStopControl", "WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy"]
|
__all__ = ["OptimalStopControl"]
|
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@@ -1,117 +0,0 @@
|
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"""Realized-IC circuit breaker TopkDropout strategy.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Subclass of ``qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy.TopkDropoutStrategy`` that
|
|
||||||
holds the book (issues NO orders) while the streaming realized RankIC of the
|
|
||||||
deployed signal is below threshold — i.e. the model's cross-sectional
|
|
||||||
predictions are no longer earning against realized forward returns. When the
|
|
||||||
gate is open it behaves exactly like the reference TopkDropoutStrategy.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The gate is evaluated per trade step on the trailing mean realized RankIC of
|
|
||||||
the signal over the last ``ic_window`` trading days whose label is fully
|
|
||||||
realized as of the decision date (no lookahead — a 5d fwd label ``close[t+6]/
|
|
||||||
close[t+1]-1`` is only known at ``t+6``).
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Two wiring modes:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
* ``ic_gate``: a precomputed ``pd.Series`` indexed by datetime of booleans
|
|
||||||
(True = gate open / trade allowed). Computed once by the caller (e.g.
|
|
||||||
``rd_backtest``) and looked up per step. Missing dates default to open.
|
|
||||||
* realized-IC self-computation: when ``ic_min_rankic`` is given but no
|
|
||||||
``ic_gate``, the strategy computes the per-date realized RankIC itself from
|
|
||||||
``self.signal`` (the pred scores) and the lake 1d bars via
|
|
||||||
``tac_qlib.risk_limits.realized_rankic_series``, then applies the same
|
|
||||||
trailing-window comparison. Works when instantiated from a workflow YAML
|
|
||||||
PortAnaRecord config (``lake_root`` / ``market`` must be provided).
|
|
||||||
"""
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import pandas as pd
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from qlib.backtest.decision import TradeDecisionWO
|
|
||||||
from qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy import TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from tac_qlib.risk_limits import ic_circuit_breaker, realized_rankic_series
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
__all__ = ["ICGateTopkDropoutStrategy"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
class ICGateTopkDropoutStrategy(TopkDropoutStrategy):
|
|
||||||
"""TopkDropout with a streaming realized-IC circuit breaker.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Parameters
|
|
||||||
----------
|
|
||||||
topk, n_drop, method_sell, method_buy, hold_thresh, only_tradable,
|
|
||||||
forbid_all_trade_at_limit : same as ``TopkDropoutStrategy``.
|
|
||||||
ic_min_rankic : float — pause new trading while trailing realized RankIC is
|
|
||||||
below this threshold (0 disables the gate).
|
|
||||||
ic_window : int — trailing window for the realized RankIC mean (default 22).
|
|
||||||
ic_label_horizon : int — label horizon in trading days (default 6).
|
|
||||||
ic_min_obs : int — min realized labels before the gate arms (default 10).
|
|
||||||
ic_gate : pd.Series, optional — precomputed per-date gate (bool indexed by
|
|
||||||
datetime). When provided, it overrides self-computation.
|
|
||||||
lake_root, market : str — lake location for self-computed realized IC.
|
|
||||||
"""
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __init__(
|
|
||||||
self,
|
|
||||||
*,
|
|
||||||
topk,
|
|
||||||
n_drop,
|
|
||||||
ic_min_rankic: float = 0.0,
|
|
||||||
ic_window: int = 22,
|
|
||||||
ic_label_horizon: int = 6,
|
|
||||||
ic_min_obs: int = 10,
|
|
||||||
ic_gate=None,
|
|
||||||
lake_root: str = "",
|
|
||||||
market: str = "US",
|
|
||||||
**kwargs,
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
super().__init__(topk=topk, n_drop=n_drop, **kwargs)
|
|
||||||
self.ic_min_rankic = float(ic_min_rankic or 0.0)
|
|
||||||
self.ic_window = int(ic_window or 22)
|
|
||||||
self.ic_label_horizon = int(ic_label_horizon or 6)
|
|
||||||
self.ic_min_obs = int(ic_min_obs or 10)
|
|
||||||
self._ic_gate = ic_gate
|
|
||||||
self._realized_ic = None
|
|
||||||
self.lake_root = lake_root or ""
|
|
||||||
self.market = market or "US"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _load_realized_ic(self):
|
|
||||||
if self._realized_ic is None:
|
|
||||||
pred_start_time, pred_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(
|
|
||||||
self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step(), shift=-self.ic_label_horizon
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
pred = self.signal.get_signal(start_time=pred_start_time, end_time=pred_end_time)
|
|
||||||
if isinstance(pred, pd.DataFrame):
|
|
||||||
pred = pred.iloc[:, 0]
|
|
||||||
self._realized_ic = realized_rankic_series(
|
|
||||||
pred, self.lake_root, self.market, label_horizon=self.ic_label_horizon
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
return self._realized_ic
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def _gate_open(self, trade_start_time) -> bool:
|
|
||||||
ts = pd.Timestamp(trade_start_time)
|
|
||||||
if self._ic_gate is not None:
|
|
||||||
# precomputed gate series: look up the latest known decision date <= ts
|
|
||||||
known = self._ic_gate[self._ic_gate.index <= ts]
|
|
||||||
if len(known):
|
|
||||||
return bool(known.iloc[-1])
|
|
||||||
return True
|
|
||||||
if self.ic_min_rankic <= 0:
|
|
||||||
return True
|
|
||||||
realized = self._load_realized_ic()
|
|
||||||
limits = {
|
|
||||||
"ic_min_rankic": self.ic_min_rankic,
|
|
||||||
"ic_window": self.ic_window,
|
|
||||||
"ic_min_obs": self.ic_min_obs,
|
|
||||||
}
|
|
||||||
tripped, _reason, _trail = ic_circuit_breaker(realized, ts, limits)
|
|
||||||
return not tripped
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def generate_trade_decision(self, execute_result=None):
|
|
||||||
trade_step = self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step()
|
|
||||||
trade_start_time, _ = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step)
|
|
||||||
if not self._gate_open(trade_start_time):
|
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
|
||||||
return super().generate_trade_decision(execute_result)
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,202 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
"""Weekly-rebalance TopkDropout strategy.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Turnover-reduction variant of ``qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy.TopkDropoutStrategy``:
|
|
||||||
the topk/n_drop selection and sizing are identical to the reference, but the
|
|
||||||
target book is recomputed only on the first trading day of each ISO week; on the
|
|
||||||
other days the strategy issues NO orders (holds the book untouched).
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
The weekly cadence is derived from the qlib trade calendar: a rebalance happens
|
|
||||||
when the current trade step's date belongs to a different ISO ``(year, week)``
|
|
||||||
than the previous trade step. ``hold_band_pct`` (default 0) optionally skips
|
|
||||||
tiny rebalances: when a name's existing position differs from the new target by
|
|
||||||
less than this fraction, no order is generated for it.
|
|
||||||
"""
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from __future__ import annotations
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from typing import List
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
import numpy as np
|
|
||||||
import pandas as pd
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
from qlib.backtest import Order
|
|
||||||
from qlib.backtest.decision import OrderDir, TradeDecisionWO
|
|
||||||
from qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy import TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
__all__ = ["WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT = 0.0
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
class WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy(TopkDropoutStrategy):
|
|
||||||
"""TopkDropout rebalanced once per ISO week; holds otherwise.
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
Parameters
|
|
||||||
----------
|
|
||||||
topk, n_drop, method_sell, method_buy, hold_thresh, only_tradable,
|
|
||||||
forbid_all_trade_at_limit : same as ``TopkDropoutStrategy``.
|
|
||||||
hold_band_pct : skip order for a name whose deviation from target weight is
|
|
||||||
below this fraction of the target (no-trade buffer band).
|
|
||||||
"""
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def __init__(self, *, topk, n_drop, hold_band_pct: float = DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT, **kwargs):
|
|
||||||
super().__init__(topk=topk, n_drop=n_drop, **kwargs)
|
|
||||||
self.hold_band_pct = hold_band_pct
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@staticmethod
|
|
||||||
def _iso_week(ts) -> tuple:
|
|
||||||
return (ts.year, ts.week)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def generate_trade_decision(self, execute_result=None):
|
|
||||||
import copy
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
trade_step = self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step()
|
|
||||||
trade_start_time, trade_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
cur_week = self._iso_week(trade_start_time)
|
|
||||||
prev_week = getattr(self, "_last_week", None)
|
|
||||||
self._last_week = cur_week
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if prev_week is not None and prev_week == cur_week:
|
|
||||||
# not the first trading day of this ISO week -> hold
|
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
pred_start_time, pred_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step, shift=1)
|
|
||||||
pred_score = self.signal.get_signal(start_time=pred_start_time, end_time=pred_end_time)
|
|
||||||
if isinstance(pred_score, pd.DataFrame):
|
|
||||||
pred_score = pred_score.iloc[:, 0]
|
|
||||||
if pred_score is None:
|
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if self.only_tradable:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def get_first_n(li, n, reverse=False):
|
|
||||||
cur_n = 0
|
|
||||||
res = []
|
|
||||||
for si in reversed(li) if reverse else li:
|
|
||||||
if self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=si, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
res.append(si)
|
|
||||||
cur_n += 1
|
|
||||||
if cur_n >= n:
|
|
||||||
break
|
|
||||||
return res[::-1] if reverse else res
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def get_last_n(li, n):
|
|
||||||
return get_first_n(li, n, reverse=True)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def filter_stock(li):
|
|
||||||
return [
|
|
||||||
si
|
|
||||||
for si in li
|
|
||||||
if self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=si, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
else:
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def get_first_n(li, n):
|
|
||||||
return list(li)[:n]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def get_last_n(li, n):
|
|
||||||
return list(li)[-n:]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def filter_stock(li):
|
|
||||||
return li
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
current_temp: "object" = copy.deepcopy(self.trade_position)
|
|
||||||
sell_order_list: List[Order] = []
|
|
||||||
buy_order_list: List[Order] = []
|
|
||||||
cash = current_temp.get_cash()
|
|
||||||
current_stock_list = current_temp.get_stock_list()
|
|
||||||
last = pred_score.reindex(current_stock_list).sort_values(ascending=False).index
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if self.method_buy == "top":
|
|
||||||
today = get_first_n(
|
|
||||||
pred_score[~pred_score.index.isin(last)].sort_values(ascending=False).index,
|
|
||||||
self.n_drop + self.topk - len(last),
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
elif self.method_buy == "random":
|
|
||||||
topk_candi = get_first_n(pred_score.sort_values(ascending=False).index, self.topk)
|
|
||||||
candi = list(filter(lambda x: x not in last, topk_candi))
|
|
||||||
n = self.n_drop + self.topk - len(last)
|
|
||||||
try:
|
|
||||||
today = np.random.choice(candi, n, replace=False)
|
|
||||||
except ValueError:
|
|
||||||
today = candi
|
|
||||||
else:
|
|
||||||
raise NotImplementedError(f"This type of input is not supported")
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
comb = pred_score.reindex(last.union(pd.Index(today))).sort_values(ascending=False).index
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if self.method_sell == "bottom":
|
|
||||||
sell = last[last.isin(get_last_n(comb, self.n_drop))]
|
|
||||||
elif self.method_sell == "random":
|
|
||||||
candi = filter_stock(last)
|
|
||||||
try:
|
|
||||||
sell = pd.Index(np.random.choice(candi, self.n_drop, replace=False) if len(last) else [])
|
|
||||||
except ValueError:
|
|
||||||
sell = candi
|
|
||||||
else:
|
|
||||||
raise NotImplementedError(f"This type of input is not supported")
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
buy = today[: len(sell) + self.topk - len(last)]
|
|
||||||
for code in current_stock_list:
|
|
||||||
if not self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code,
|
|
||||||
start_time=trade_start_time,
|
|
||||||
end_time=trade_end_time,
|
|
||||||
direction=None if self.forbid_all_trade_at_limit else OrderDir.SELL,
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
continue
|
|
||||||
if code in sell:
|
|
||||||
time_per_step = self.trade_calendar.get_freq()
|
|
||||||
if current_temp.get_stock_count(code, bar=time_per_step) < self.hold_thresh:
|
|
||||||
continue
|
|
||||||
sell_amount = current_temp.get_stock_amount(code=code)
|
|
||||||
sell_order = Order(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code,
|
|
||||||
amount=sell_amount,
|
|
||||||
start_time=trade_start_time,
|
|
||||||
end_time=trade_end_time,
|
|
||||||
direction=Order.SELL,
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
if self.trade_exchange.check_order(sell_order):
|
|
||||||
sell_order_list.append(sell_order)
|
|
||||||
trade_val, trade_cost, trade_price = self.trade_exchange.deal_order(
|
|
||||||
sell_order, position=current_temp
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
cash += trade_val - trade_cost
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
if len(buy) == 0:
|
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO(sell_order_list, self)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
value = cash * self.risk_degree / len(buy)
|
|
||||||
for code in buy:
|
|
||||||
if not self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code,
|
|
||||||
start_time=trade_start_time,
|
|
||||||
end_time=trade_end_time,
|
|
||||||
direction=None if self.forbid_all_trade_at_limit else OrderDir.BUY,
|
|
||||||
):
|
|
||||||
continue
|
|
||||||
buy_price = self.trade_exchange.get_deal_price(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time, direction=OrderDir.BUY
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
buy_amount = value / buy_price
|
|
||||||
factor = self.trade_exchange.get_factor(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
buy_amount = self.trade_exchange.round_amount_by_trade_unit(buy_amount, factor)
|
|
||||||
buy_order = Order(
|
|
||||||
stock_id=code,
|
|
||||||
amount=buy_amount,
|
|
||||||
start_time=trade_start_time,
|
|
||||||
end_time=trade_end_time,
|
|
||||||
direction=Order.BUY,
|
|
||||||
)
|
|
||||||
buy_order_list.append(buy_order)
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
return TradeDecisionWO(sell_order_list + buy_order_list, self)
|
|
||||||
Binary file not shown.
Binary file not shown.
Binary file not shown.
@@ -6,11 +6,10 @@ The lake is a hive-partitioned parquet store (see ``tac-engine/skills/tradeac-la
|
|||||||
├── market=US/
|
├── market=US/
|
||||||
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
||||||
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # OHLCV bars: t, date, o, h, l, c, v, n, vw
|
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # OHLCV bars: t, date, o, h, l, c, v, n, vw
|
||||||
├── features/ # indicators, wide format, family tier
|
├── features/ # ta-lib indicators, wide format
|
||||||
│ └── market=US/
|
│ └── market=US/
|
||||||
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
||||||
│ ├── family=ta/symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sma_5, sma_20, rsi_14, ...
|
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sma_5, sma_20, rsi_14, ...
|
||||||
│ └── family=sp/symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sp_ou_*, sp_hmm_*, ...
|
|
||||||
├── calendar.parquet # trading days per market
|
├── calendar.parquet # trading days per market
|
||||||
├── coverage.parquet # per (market,timeframe,symbol) loaded windows
|
├── coverage.parquet # per (market,timeframe,symbol) loaded windows
|
||||||
└── symbols.parquet # asset master
|
└── symbols.parquet # asset master
|
||||||
@@ -108,34 +107,8 @@ class LakeConfig:
|
|||||||
return self.lake_root / "features" / f"market={self.market}" / f"timeframe={timeframe}"
|
return self.lake_root / "features" / f"market={self.market}" / f"timeframe={timeframe}"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def features_path(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> Path:
|
def features_path(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> Path:
|
||||||
# Legacy flat path (no family tier). Prefer `load_features` which
|
|
||||||
# resolves the family=ta|sp partition layout.
|
|
||||||
return self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={str(symbol).upper()}.parquet"
|
return self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={str(symbol).upper()}.parquet"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def load_features(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
|
||||||
"""All feature columns for a symbol, merging the `family=ta` and
|
|
||||||
`family=sp` partitions by timestamp. Returns an empty frame when no
|
|
||||||
feature files exist (legacy flat layout falls back transparently)."""
|
|
||||||
sym = str(symbol).upper()
|
|
||||||
frames = []
|
|
||||||
for family in ("ta", "sp"):
|
|
||||||
p = self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"family={family}" / f"symbol={sym}.parquet"
|
|
||||||
if p.exists():
|
|
||||||
frames.append(pd.read_parquet(p))
|
|
||||||
if not frames:
|
|
||||||
flat = self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={sym}.parquet"
|
|
||||||
if flat.exists():
|
|
||||||
return pd.read_parquet(flat)
|
|
||||||
return pd.DataFrame()
|
|
||||||
if len(frames) == 1:
|
|
||||||
return frames[0]
|
|
||||||
merged = frames[0]
|
|
||||||
for extra in frames[1:]:
|
|
||||||
merged = merged.merge(extra, on="t", how="outer", suffixes=("", "_dup"))
|
|
||||||
for c in [c for c in merged.columns if c.endswith("_dup")]:
|
|
||||||
merged = merged.drop(columns=c)
|
|
||||||
return merged
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def calendar_path(self) -> Path:
|
def calendar_path(self) -> Path:
|
||||||
return self.lake_root / "calendar.parquet"
|
return self.lake_root / "calendar.parquet"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -173,7 +173,8 @@ class LakeFeatureProvider(FeatureProvider):
|
|||||||
def _load_feature_df(self, instrument: str, timeframe: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
def _load_feature_df(self, instrument: str, timeframe: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||||
key = (instrument, timeframe)
|
key = (instrument, timeframe)
|
||||||
if key not in self._feature_cache:
|
if key not in self._feature_cache:
|
||||||
self._feature_cache[key] = self.cfg.load_features(timeframe, instrument)
|
p = self.cfg.features_path(timeframe, instrument)
|
||||||
|
self._feature_cache[key] = pd.read_parquet(p) if p.exists() else pd.DataFrame()
|
||||||
return self._feature_cache[key]
|
return self._feature_cache[key]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@staticmethod
|
@staticmethod
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2024
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2025
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2026
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2024
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2025
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2026
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2024
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2025
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2026
|
|
||||||
# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-19"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward transfer test: m2-sharpe22 / test 2021 (trace exp 54)
|
|
||||||
# Label-regime match to 2026 (psi 0.039). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-2021-2023" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2022-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2020-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2020-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2020-09-01", "2020-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2021-01-04", "2021-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2021-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2021-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward transfer test: m2-sharpe22 / test 2023 (trace exp 54)
|
|
||||||
# Best label-regime match to 2026 (psi 0.028). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-2021-2023" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2022-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2022-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2022-09-01", "2022-12-30"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2023-01-03", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2023-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2023-12-29"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: m2-sharpe22 / test 2024 (trace exp 53, ref exp32 c7c12228 on cleaned lake)
|
|
||||||
# Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-3windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: m2-sharpe22 / test 2025 (trace exp 53, ref exp32 c7c12228 on cleaned lake)
|
|
||||||
# Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-3windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Walk-forward: m2-sharpe22 / test 2026 (trace exp 53, ref exp32 c7c12228 on cleaned lake)
|
|
||||||
# Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5. Window matches reference exp32 exactly.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-3windows" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-10"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2021 (trace exp 55) — 1y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-1y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2022-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2019-08-30"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2020-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2019-08-30", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2019-08-30", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2019-08-30", "2020-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2020-09-01", "2020-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2021-01-04", "2021-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2021-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2021-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2023 (trace exp 55) — 1y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-1y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2021-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2022-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2021-08-31", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2021-08-31", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2021-08-31", "2022-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2022-09-01", "2022-12-30"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2023-01-03", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2023-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2023-12-29"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2024 (trace exp 55) — 1y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-1y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2022-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2022-08-31", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2022-08-31", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2022-08-31", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2025 (trace exp 55) — 1y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-1y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2023-08-31", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2023-08-31", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2023-08-31", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2026 (trace exp 55) — 1y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-1y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2024-09-03"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2024-09-03", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2024-09-03", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2024-09-03", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-10"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2021 (trace exp 55) — 2y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-2y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2022-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2018-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2020-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2018-08-31", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2018-08-31", fit_end_time: "2020-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2018-08-31", "2020-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2020-09-01", "2020-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2021-01-04", "2021-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2021-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2021-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2023 (trace exp 55) — 2y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-2y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2020-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2022-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2020-08-31", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2020-08-31", fit_end_time: "2022-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2020-08-31", "2022-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2022-09-01", "2022-12-30"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2023-01-03", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2023-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2023-12-29"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2024 (trace exp 55) — 2y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-2y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2021-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2021-08-31", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2021-08-31", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2021-08-31", "2023-08-31"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2024-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2024-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2025 (trace exp 55) — 2y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-2y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-01-07"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2022-08-31"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2022-08-31", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2022-08-31", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2022-08-31", "2024-08-30"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2025-01-02"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2025-12-31"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,96 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# Adaptive short-window retrain: m2-sharpe22 / test 2026 (trace exp 55) — 2y training window
|
|
||||||
# Hypothesis: a short recent training window adapts to the target year's regime and transfers the edge.
|
|
||||||
{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-m2-sharpe22-adaptive-2y" }
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
parallel: 5
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2015-01-03"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: "2023-09-01"
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2023-09-01", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2023-09-01", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
|
||||||
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: ["2023-09-01", "2025-09-01"]
|
|
||||||
valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
|
|
||||||
test: ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-10"]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
|
||||||
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: "2026-01-04"
|
|
||||||
end_time: "2026-08-10"
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,136 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
# EXP 14 - Strategy A (baseline): reference model + TopkDropout.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Model = RankICEnsembleLGBModel (5-seed RankIC-early-stopped LGB), the class
|
|
||||||
# wired by the tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated reference (run 0cea66d9...).
|
|
||||||
# Strategy = TopkDropout topk=10 n_drop=2 risk_degree=0.95 (the reference's own
|
|
||||||
# recorded backtest strategy), so this run reproduces the reference baseline on
|
|
||||||
# the same 50-ETF SP-5d panel.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Run:
|
|
||||||
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/a_topk_baseline.yaml \
|
|
||||||
# experiment_name=tac-rd-optstop-v2
|
|
||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
markets: {}
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
|
|
||||||
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-optstop-v2"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-14
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- class: DropAllNaN
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ProcessInf
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: CSRankNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: Fillna
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- class: SignalRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
ana_long_short: true
|
|
||||||
ann_scaler: 252
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
signal: "<PRED>"
|
|
||||||
topk: 10
|
|
||||||
n_drop: 2
|
|
||||||
only_tradable: true
|
|
||||||
risk_degree: 0.95
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
@@ -1,149 +0,0 @@
|
|||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
# EXP 14 - Strategy B (enhanced): reference model + OptimalStopControlV2.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Model = RankICEnsembleLGBModel (5-seed RankIC-early-stopped LGB), identical to
|
|
||||||
# Strategy A. Strategy = OptimalStopControlV2 (tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.
|
|
||||||
# optimal_stop_v2) with the controls that address OptimalStopControl's documented
|
|
||||||
# weaknesses:
|
|
||||||
# - turnover / cost control: rebalance_band=0.05 (skip small rebalances),
|
|
||||||
# cooldown_days=3 (no whipsaw re-entries), max_turnover=0.30 (cap daily
|
|
||||||
# traded notional, priority exits > opens > rebalances)
|
|
||||||
# - robust thresholds (no valid-window overfit): entry 0.85 / exit 0.70 /
|
|
||||||
# max_hold 10 / min_hold 2 / sl -0.08
|
|
||||||
# Sizing = equal-weight control (risk_degree fraction of total value split
|
|
||||||
# across targets) - the "proper allocation" that replaces cash-heuristic sizing.
|
|
||||||
#
|
|
||||||
# Run:
|
|
||||||
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/b_optstop_v2.yaml \
|
|
||||||
# experiment_name=tac-rd-optstop-v2
|
|
||||||
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
|
||||||
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
|
||||||
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
qlib_init:
|
|
||||||
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
region: us
|
|
||||||
expression_cache: null
|
|
||||||
dataset_cache: null
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
calendar_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
instrument_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
markets: {}
|
|
||||||
feature_provider:
|
|
||||||
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
exp_manager:
|
|
||||||
class: MLflowExpManager
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
|
|
||||||
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-optstop-v2"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
task:
|
|
||||||
model:
|
|
||||||
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
loss: mse
|
|
||||||
learning_rate: 0.02
|
|
||||||
num_leaves: 31
|
|
||||||
n_estimators: 3000
|
|
||||||
num_boost_round: 3000
|
|
||||||
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
|
||||||
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
|
||||||
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
|
||||||
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample: 0.8
|
|
||||||
subsample_freq: 1
|
|
||||||
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
|
||||||
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
|
||||||
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
dataset:
|
|
||||||
class: DatasetH
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
handler:
|
|
||||||
class: TACHandler
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-14
|
|
||||||
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
|
||||||
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
|
||||||
market: US
|
|
||||||
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
|
||||||
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
|
|
||||||
infer_processors:
|
|
||||||
- class: DropAllNaN
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ProcessInf
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: CSRankNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: Fillna
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
segments:
|
|
||||||
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
|
||||||
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
|
||||||
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
record:
|
|
||||||
- class: SignalRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs: {}
|
|
||||||
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
ana_long_short: true
|
|
||||||
ann_scaler: 252
|
|
||||||
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
|
||||||
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
config:
|
|
||||||
strategy:
|
|
||||||
class: OptimalStopControlV2
|
|
||||||
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.optimal_stop_v2
|
|
||||||
kwargs:
|
|
||||||
signal: "<PRED>"
|
|
||||||
topk: 10
|
|
||||||
entry_pct: 0.85
|
|
||||||
exit_pct: 0.70
|
|
||||||
max_hold_days: 10
|
|
||||||
min_hold_days: 2
|
|
||||||
sl: -0.08
|
|
||||||
risk_degree: 0.95
|
|
||||||
notional: 20000
|
|
||||||
rebalance_band: 0.05
|
|
||||||
cooldown_days: 3
|
|
||||||
max_turnover: 0.30
|
|
||||||
backtest:
|
|
||||||
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
|
||||||
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
|
||||||
account: 1000000
|
|
||||||
benchmark: SPY
|
|
||||||
exchange_kwargs:
|
|
||||||
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
|
||||||
deal_price: $close
|
|
||||||
freq: day
|
|
||||||
open_cost: 0.0005
|
|
||||||
close_cost: 0.0015
|
|
||||||
min_cost: 5.0
|
|
||||||
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
|
||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user