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# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
# parent repo HEAD : 22a57a81c62aa2d99f9362a50b52fb4c0d82d1c2
# parent repo HEAD : fccac3e792e2a6c5e72e63ca20a0eb4b8713d561
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
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# QUEUE-me
# HMM regime overlay (Q10): identical TopkDropout selection, entry gated on sp_hmm_p_regime1 >= 0.5.
# Acceptance: net_max_drawdown < 7.69% AND net_IR >= 0.21. No regime column enters feature_fields.
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-q10-regime"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-10
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: RegimeGateDropoutStrategy
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.regime_gate
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 1
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
regime_threshold: 0.5
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,133 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# ABLATION A (baseline): LightGBM with RankIC early-stopping on the 50-ETF SP-5d
# panel, using ALL 24 sp_* feature columns (ou,hmm,jump,har,trend,hurst,
# signature). Copy of the canonical workflow_lgb_sp5d_rankic.yaml with a
# distinct experiment name so the ablation runs are isolated.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=tac-qlib/workflows/ablate_baseline_all_sp_fields.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ablate
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_ou_zscore,sp_ou_half_life,sp_ou_revert,sp_hmm_p_regime1,sp_hmm_state,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ablate"
task:
model:
class: RankICLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_gbdt
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seed: 42
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-10
fit_start_time: 2015-01-03
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2015-01-03, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,134 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# ABLATION B (generic-only): same panel/model as the baseline, but feature
# fields restricted to the model-free / generic stochastic-process families
# (jump,har,trend,hurst,signature). Drops the model-specific ou (OU/AR-1
# half-life) and hmm (2-state regime) families to test whether the generic
# families alone dominate the rank dimension.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=tac-qlib/workflows/ablate_generic_only_sp_fields.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ablate
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ablate"
task:
model:
class: RankICLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_gbdt
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seed: 42
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-10
fit_start_time: 2015-01-03
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2015-01-03, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
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@@ -1,141 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# ISOLATION: multi-seed RankIC ensemble, ablate-B generic-only feature set.
#
# Isolates the ensemble effect on the SP-5d rank signal. Same panel, segments,
# history (full backfilled 2016+) and feature set as the exp-9 ablate-B winner
# (generic-only sp_* families: jump,har,trend,hurst,signature), but replaces the
# single RankICLGBModel with a 5-seed RankICEnsembleLGBModel (42,7,2026,99,123)
# that averages per-day predictions.
#
# Differs from exp-15 (tac-rd-rank-ensemble, mlflow exp 15) ONLY by dropping the
# TA subset (rsi_14,roc_10,macd_hist,willr_14,atr_14) and the inter-asset xr_*
# features, so any change vs exp-15 is attributable to the feature set alone,
# and any change vs exp-9 is attributable to the ensemble + full history alone.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp12_isolation_ensemble.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
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@@ -1,141 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 18 - Risk-limit control: reference model + TopkDropout baseline (A).
#
# Signal/model identical to the reference (tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated,
# run 0cea66d9...): RankICEnsembleLGBModel (parallel, 5 seeds) on the 50-ETF
# SP-5d panel, test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10. This workflow reproduces the
# unconstrained TopkDropout baseline net-of-cost so the risk-limited variant
# (same pred, liquidity/size/concentration caps) can be compared 1:1.
#
# The risk_limits spec itself is applied via rd_backtest / rd_strategy_targets
# (tool-level param, not a YAML key); this run records the unconstrained
# baseline that the limit A/B is measured against.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp18-risk-limit/a_baseline.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,135 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,135 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 1
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,135 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7"
parallel: 2
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,136 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: MomentumGateTopk
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.momentum_gate
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
min_momentum: 0.0
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,138 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: HmmRiskTopk
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.hmm_risk
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
hmm_pause_pct: 0.70
drawdown_pause_pct: 8.0
liquidity_floor_adv: 5000000
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,137 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
weight_mode: rolling_ic
rolling_ic_window: 21
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
@@ -1,135 +0,0 @@
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
# EXP 20 - R1: 2-seed ensemble (seeds 42,7), TopkDropout baseline.
#
# Runtime cut: 2 seeds instead of 5. Everything else identical to the reference
# (test 2026-01-04..2026-08-10, SPY, costs 5bp/15bp). Measures whether the
# 2-seed ensemble keeps the reference quality at ~2/5 the training time.
#
# Run:
# rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp20-risk-limit-improve/r1_2seed.yaml \
# experiment_name=tac-rd-risk-limit
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sma_3,ema_3" %}
qlib_init:
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
region: us
expression_cache: null
dataset_cache: null
calendar_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
instrument_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
markets: {}
feature_provider:
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
kwargs:
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
exp_manager:
class: MLflowExpManager
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
kwargs:
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-risk-limit"
task:
model:
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
kwargs:
loss: mse
learning_rate: 0.02
num_leaves: 31
n_estimators: 3000
num_boost_round: 3000
early_stopping_rounds: 200
min_data_in_leaf: 20
lambda_l2: 0.5
colsample_bytree: 0.8
subsample: 0.8
subsample_freq: 1
reg_alpha: 0.1
reg_lambda: 1.0
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
parallel: 5
dataset:
class: DatasetH
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
kwargs:
handler:
class: TACHandler
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
kwargs:
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
start_time: 2015-01-03
end_time: 2026-08-14
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
freq: day
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
market: US
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
infer_processors:
- class: DropAllNaN
kwargs: {}
- class: ProcessInf
kwargs: {}
- class: CSRankNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: ZScoreNorm
kwargs: {}
- class: Fillna
kwargs: {}
segments:
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
record:
- class: SignalRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs: {}
- class: SigAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
ana_long_short: true
ann_scaler: 252
- class: PortAnaRecord
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
kwargs:
config:
strategy:
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
kwargs:
signal: "<PRED>"
topk: 10
n_drop: 2
only_tradable: true
risk_degree: 0.95
backtest:
start_time: 2026-01-04
end_time: 2026-08-10
account: 1000000
benchmark: SPY
exchange_kwargs:
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
deal_price: $close
freq: day
open_cost: 0.0005
close_cost: 0.0015
min_cost: 5.0
risk_analysis_freq: 1d