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+16
-16
@@ -1,27 +1,27 @@
|
|||||||
# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
|
# TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
|
||||||
# parent repo HEAD : ab919245c2f3d6881cd6e16e77e583bbb6d5b000
|
# parent repo HEAD : 6a1b05db2ee70d7661d695f5fd0b77b19c70e18a
|
||||||
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
|
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
|
||||||
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
|
# tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
|
||||||
# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
|
# per-file hashes (git hash-object):
|
||||||
1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
|
1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
|
||||||
bb903ca28c70ae5802d673d5b85481679f58c286 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
b419ee55ed455a1c45423d1c9025ca5cc0a98576 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
|
c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
|
||||||
9749bb730880371ea7bf9bf0c5ffd78fcf6b5a91 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
2f6c67620aa2f9e6aaaef3369361d9b3eac3d6ca tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
9eb94cfac5d41ae20acb12612c219f210d463ab4 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/handler.cpython-312.pyc
|
fdd5923a70a399e8680913593ff111641947898e tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/handler.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
871ff1e163c29261f140c3f53d42a41e6504c779 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
|
0dd25ef161c6e0f15eafc84886e7e1381deb38c3 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
|
||||||
b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
|
b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
|
||||||
d209c3e3e8c2a8683cd337ff3b10c04015f16dc6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
08dec87ccdf6bb5d2cf611ca3032a4280aaab8cf tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
532527ebe81b269f723c806286122fb5483d0379 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_ensemble.cpython-312.pyc
|
6fb61946ea9a83dfb560de3717f5fbf482c4c00e tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_ensemble.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
1681c9bc021188c0f134e33e6402f521a9d46e9c tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_gbdt.cpython-312.pyc
|
3e80f2e08b661ddd2f58ffe5a6196063fa41ae51 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/rank_gbdt.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
|
d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
|
||||||
ccfe7d554989aa7f3e5a2128ae663e51b2207149 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
|
d03e6611338918d4aac5eea4adf26f85a3763652 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
|
||||||
4afcf9058231111c412925f4c4b84e81d656db87 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
|
4afcf9058231111c412925f4c4b84e81d656db87 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
|
||||||
a6fb3d6c2d111b7ad423939582df67aacb36fead tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
6ad10c2ebe37c16417e67c7aeb731ad1fcb6da2f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
44ed28758151eb7fa4d388646cb1c6f04b450d8c tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
|
8d684b3216b040071d9ee4fa920a0e0c7486d278 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
|
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79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
|
79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
|
||||||
92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
|
92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
|
||||||
319e3f728b093d6c483eb29de42617a45ee88830 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
7c4e6c345fad1978efe8860c0d977d0c02d6f8d9 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
08a7dcbcf3f34bdb784d3b16c04daf265d04ae5f tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
|
99e602392d51663cb06d5c425000b1ed1e5a916b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
47337bd1e54b6e333f26a9088d645ed48fbc44f6 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
|
020dcdcf288e4832c8cf2386351f78d5ceb4fe13 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
|
||||||
686d36f6d101c547491ca866aa143aa542e17518 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
|
53c9007a928841fd3c3b08450f9a6520ce1ac091 tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
|
||||||
d9f839be30026f337754a3f015425a8efdbe8e2a tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
|
8d0644f6f0d1efb94798ed444cc73e63b643459b tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py
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@@ -64,9 +64,13 @@ def check_transform_proc(proc_l, fit_start_time, fit_end_time):
|
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|
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|
||||||
def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> List[str]:
|
def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> List[str]:
|
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"""Discover ta-lib columns present in *every* features parquet file of the lake.
|
"""Discover feature columns present in *every* feature file of the lake.
|
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|
|
||||||
Returns sorted field names (without the ``$`` prefix). Empty if no features are persisted.
|
Walks the `family=ta|sp` partition layout (plus any legacy flat files).
|
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|
TA and SP columns are disjoint by construction, so the common set is
|
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|
computed per family (columns shared by all symbol files of that family),
|
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|
then the per-family results are unioned. Returns sorted field names
|
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|
(without the ``$`` prefix). Empty if no features are persisted.
|
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"""
|
"""
|
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cfg = LakeConfig(lake_root, market)
|
cfg = LakeConfig(lake_root, market)
|
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feat_dir = cfg.features_dir(timeframe)
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feat_dir = cfg.features_dir(timeframe)
|
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@@ -74,8 +78,9 @@ def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> Li
|
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return []
|
return []
|
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import pyarrow.parquet as pq
|
import pyarrow.parquet as pq
|
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|
|
||||||
|
def _family_common(fam_dir: Path) -> set:
|
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common = None
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common = None
|
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for p in sorted(feat_dir.glob("symbol=*.parquet")):
|
for p in sorted(fam_dir.glob("symbol=*.parquet")):
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try:
|
try:
|
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cols = set(pq.read_schema(p).names) - set(NON_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
|
cols = set(pq.read_schema(p).names) - set(NON_FEATURE_COLUMNS)
|
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except Exception: # pragma: no cover - skip unreadable files
|
except Exception: # pragma: no cover - skip unreadable files
|
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@@ -83,7 +88,20 @@ def get_common_feature_fields(lake_root=None, market="US", timeframe="1d") -> Li
|
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common = cols if common is None else (common & cols)
|
common = cols if common is None else (common & cols)
|
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if not common:
|
if not common:
|
||||||
break
|
break
|
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return sorted(common) if common else []
|
return common or set()
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|
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||||||
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common: set = set()
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# family tier: features/market=*/timeframe=*/family=*/symbol=*.parquet
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|
for fam in ("ta", "sp"):
|
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|
fam_dir = feat_dir / f"family={fam}"
|
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|
if fam_dir.is_dir():
|
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|
common |= _family_common(fam_dir)
|
||||||
|
# legacy flat: features/market=*/timeframe=*/symbol=*.parquet
|
||||||
|
if (feat_dir / "family=ta").exists() or (feat_dir / "family=sp").exists():
|
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|
pass # family layout already covered
|
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|
else:
|
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|
common |= _family_common(feat_dir)
|
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|
return sorted(common)
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
class DropAllNaN(processor_module.Processor):
|
class DropAllNaN(processor_module.Processor):
|
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|
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@@ -53,23 +53,61 @@ from qlib.workflow import R
|
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__all__ = ["RankICLGBModel", "rankic_feval"]
|
__all__ = ["RankICLGBModel", "rankic_feval"]
|
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|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
def _group_averaged_rank(values: np.ndarray, gid: np.ndarray, offs: np.ndarray) -> np.ndarray:
|
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|
"""Averaged (tie-corrected) rank of ``values`` within each group, vectorized.
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|
|
||||||
|
``gid`` maps each row to its group id; ``offs`` holds the cumulative row
|
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|
offsets so that group ``i`` occupies rows ``[offs[i], offs[i+1])``. Returns
|
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|
the same result as ``pandas.Series.rank(method='average')`` applied per
|
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|
group, but in one pass (``np.lexsort`` is the only non-linear step).
|
||||||
|
"""
|
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|
n = len(values)
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|
order = np.lexsort((values, gid))
|
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|
ord_rank = np.empty(n, dtype=np.float64)
|
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|
ord_rank[order] = np.arange(n, dtype=np.float64) - offs[gid[order]] + 1.0
|
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|
sg = gid[order]
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|
sv = values[order]
|
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|
newblock = np.empty(n, dtype=bool)
|
||||||
|
newblock[0] = True
|
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|
newblock[1:] = (sg[1:] != sg[:-1]) | (sv[1:] != sv[:-1])
|
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|
blockid = np.cumsum(newblock) - 1
|
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|
block_mean = np.bincount(blockid, weights=ord_rank[order]) / np.bincount(blockid)
|
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|
out = np.empty(n)
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|
out[order] = block_mean[blockid]
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return out
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def _per_day_spearman(preds: np.ndarray, labels: np.ndarray, group: np.ndarray) -> float:
|
def _per_day_spearman(preds: np.ndarray, labels: np.ndarray, group: np.ndarray) -> float:
|
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"""Mean per-day Spearman rank correlation of preds vs labels.
|
"""Mean per-day Spearman rank correlation of preds vs labels.
|
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|
|
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``group`` holds the number of rows of each trading day (query group), in
|
``group`` holds the number of rows of each trading day (query group), in
|
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order. Days with <3 valid rows or a constant pred/label are skipped.
|
order. Days with <3 valid rows or a constant pred/label are skipped.
|
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|
|
||||||
|
Vectorized: per-day Spearman == Pearson of the per-day rank transforms,
|
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|
and the Pearson moments (``sum``, ``sum`` of products/squares) aggregate
|
||||||
|
over each day with ``np.bincount``. Runs ~10x faster than the per-day
|
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|
``pd.Series.rank()`` loop that preceded it — this feval is invoked on the
|
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|
train and valid panels every boosting round, per seed.
|
||||||
"""
|
"""
|
||||||
if group is None or len(group) == 0:
|
if group is None or len(group) == 0:
|
||||||
return 0.0
|
return 0.0
|
||||||
offs = np.concatenate([[0], np.cumsum(group.astype(int))])
|
offs = np.concatenate([[0], np.cumsum(group.astype(int))])
|
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vals = []
|
gid = np.repeat(np.arange(len(group)), group.astype(int))
|
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for i in range(len(group)):
|
rp = _group_averaged_rank(preds, gid, offs)
|
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s = slice(offs[i], offs[i + 1])
|
rl = _group_averaged_rank(labels, gid, offs)
|
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p, l = preds[s], labels[s]
|
n_g = group.astype(float)
|
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if len(p) < 3 or np.std(p) == 0 or np.std(l) == 0:
|
s_p = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp)
|
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continue
|
s_l = np.bincount(gid, weights=rl)
|
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vals.append(np.corrcoef(pd.Series(p).rank(), pd.Series(l).rank())[0, 1])
|
s_pl = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp * rl)
|
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return float(np.mean(vals)) if vals else 0.0
|
s_pp = np.bincount(gid, weights=rp * rp)
|
||||||
|
s_ll = np.bincount(gid, weights=rl * rl)
|
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|
cov = n_g * s_pl - s_p * s_l
|
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|
var_p = n_g * s_pp - s_p ** 2
|
||||||
|
var_l = n_g * s_ll - s_l ** 2
|
||||||
|
denom = np.sqrt(var_p * var_l)
|
||||||
|
valid = (n_g >= 3) & (denom > 0)
|
||||||
|
corr = np.where(valid, cov / np.where(denom == 0, 1, denom), 0.0)
|
||||||
|
return float(corr[valid].mean()) if valid.any() else 0.0
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def rankic_feval(preds, dataset):
|
def rankic_feval(preds, dataset):
|
||||||
|
|||||||
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@@ -6,10 +6,11 @@ The lake is a hive-partitioned parquet store (see ``tac-engine/skills/tradeac-la
|
|||||||
├── market=US/
|
├── market=US/
|
||||||
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
||||||
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # OHLCV bars: t, date, o, h, l, c, v, n, vw
|
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # OHLCV bars: t, date, o, h, l, c, v, n, vw
|
||||||
├── features/ # ta-lib indicators, wide format
|
├── features/ # indicators, wide format, family tier
|
||||||
│ └── market=US/
|
│ └── market=US/
|
||||||
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
│ └── timeframe=1d/
|
||||||
│ └── symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sma_5, sma_20, rsi_14, ...
|
│ ├── family=ta/symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sma_5, sma_20, rsi_14, ...
|
||||||
|
│ └── family=sp/symbol=AAPL.parquet # t, sp_ou_*, sp_hmm_*, ...
|
||||||
├── calendar.parquet # trading days per market
|
├── calendar.parquet # trading days per market
|
||||||
├── coverage.parquet # per (market,timeframe,symbol) loaded windows
|
├── coverage.parquet # per (market,timeframe,symbol) loaded windows
|
||||||
└── symbols.parquet # asset master
|
└── symbols.parquet # asset master
|
||||||
@@ -107,8 +108,34 @@ class LakeConfig:
|
|||||||
return self.lake_root / "features" / f"market={self.market}" / f"timeframe={timeframe}"
|
return self.lake_root / "features" / f"market={self.market}" / f"timeframe={timeframe}"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def features_path(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> Path:
|
def features_path(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> Path:
|
||||||
|
# Legacy flat path (no family tier). Prefer `load_features` which
|
||||||
|
# resolves the family=ta|sp partition layout.
|
||||||
return self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={str(symbol).upper()}.parquet"
|
return self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={str(symbol).upper()}.parquet"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
def load_features(self, timeframe: str, symbol: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||||
|
"""All feature columns for a symbol, merging the `family=ta` and
|
||||||
|
`family=sp` partitions by timestamp. Returns an empty frame when no
|
||||||
|
feature files exist (legacy flat layout falls back transparently)."""
|
||||||
|
sym = str(symbol).upper()
|
||||||
|
frames = []
|
||||||
|
for family in ("ta", "sp"):
|
||||||
|
p = self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"family={family}" / f"symbol={sym}.parquet"
|
||||||
|
if p.exists():
|
||||||
|
frames.append(pd.read_parquet(p))
|
||||||
|
if not frames:
|
||||||
|
flat = self.features_dir(timeframe) / f"symbol={sym}.parquet"
|
||||||
|
if flat.exists():
|
||||||
|
return pd.read_parquet(flat)
|
||||||
|
return pd.DataFrame()
|
||||||
|
if len(frames) == 1:
|
||||||
|
return frames[0]
|
||||||
|
merged = frames[0]
|
||||||
|
for extra in frames[1:]:
|
||||||
|
merged = merged.merge(extra, on="t", how="outer", suffixes=("", "_dup"))
|
||||||
|
for c in [c for c in merged.columns if c.endswith("_dup")]:
|
||||||
|
merged = merged.drop(columns=c)
|
||||||
|
return merged
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
def calendar_path(self) -> Path:
|
def calendar_path(self) -> Path:
|
||||||
return self.lake_root / "calendar.parquet"
|
return self.lake_root / "calendar.parquet"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -173,8 +173,7 @@ class LakeFeatureProvider(FeatureProvider):
|
|||||||
def _load_feature_df(self, instrument: str, timeframe: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
def _load_feature_df(self, instrument: str, timeframe: str) -> pd.DataFrame:
|
||||||
key = (instrument, timeframe)
|
key = (instrument, timeframe)
|
||||||
if key not in self._feature_cache:
|
if key not in self._feature_cache:
|
||||||
p = self.cfg.features_path(timeframe, instrument)
|
self._feature_cache[key] = self.cfg.load_features(timeframe, instrument)
|
||||||
self._feature_cache[key] = pd.read_parquet(p) if p.exists() else pd.DataFrame()
|
|
||||||
return self._feature_cache[key]
|
return self._feature_cache[key]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
@staticmethod
|
@staticmethod
|
||||||
|
|||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,140 @@
|
|||||||
|
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
||||||
|
# QUEUE-01 — M2 reproduction: risk-adjusted 22d Sharpe drift (sp_sharpe_22).
|
||||||
|
#
|
||||||
|
# Hypothesis (book ch.01/ch.07, EVIDENCE#018 -> exp 30): adding the
|
||||||
|
# risk-adjusted 22d Sharpe drift feature (sp_sharpe_22) to the compact
|
||||||
|
# stochastic reference IMPROVES net portfolio performance (exp 30: net +6.53%
|
||||||
|
# IR 0.62 vs reference +2.13% IR 0.21) while rank metrics dip (RankIC 0.0576 vs
|
||||||
|
# 0.0663). exp 30 is a SINGLE clean-lake run, unreproduced -> HYPOTHESIS.
|
||||||
|
#
|
||||||
|
# Change vs exp-26 reference (EVIDENCE#015, run 21afc6af...): ONE feature added,
|
||||||
|
# feature_fields = compact set + sp_sharpe_22. Everything else byte-identical.
|
||||||
|
#
|
||||||
|
# Acceptance: net_ann_return > +2.13% AND net_IR > 0.21 (else HYPOTHESIS -> REFUTED).
|
||||||
|
# Run: rd_run_workflow config_path=<repo>/experiments/queue/workflows/q01_m2_sharpe22_repro.yaml \
|
||||||
|
# experiment_name=tac-rd-q01-m2-sharpe22-repro
|
||||||
|
# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
markets: {}
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
|
||||||
|
default_exp_name: "tac-rd-q01-m2-sharpe22-repro"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
parallel: 5
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- class: DropAllNaN
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
- class: ProcessInf
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
- class: CSRankNorm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
- class: ZScoreNorm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
- class: Fillna
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- class: SignalRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs: {}
|
||||||
|
- class: SigAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
ana_long_short: true
|
||||||
|
ann_scaler: 252
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
signal: "<PRED>"
|
||||||
|
topk: 10
|
||||||
|
n_drop: 1
|
||||||
|
only_tradable: true
|
||||||
|
risk_degree: 0.95
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
|
|||||||
|
# Re-run of experiment 16 with validated family=ta and family=sp lake features.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sma_5,sma_20,ema_12,ema_26,rsi_14,macd,macd_signal,macd_hist,bb_upper,bb_middle,bb_lower,atr_14,adx_14,sp_ret,sp_ou_half_life,sp_ou_revert,sp_ou_zscore,sp_hmm_p_regime1,sp_hmm_state,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp16-db-ta-sp" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
|
|||||||
|
# General stochastic-process feature ablation: no TA, HMM, or OU fields.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,97 @@
|
|||||||
|
# Exact compact stochastic feature set requested for a new run in MLflow exp 25.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,98 @@
|
|||||||
|
# Compact stochastic feature set with reduced turnover: n_drop=1 instead of 2.
|
||||||
|
# Same setup as exp24 (compact baseline) but replacing the TopkDropout n_drop 2 with 1.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,99 @@
|
|||||||
|
# M2 isolation run: base compact set + risk-adjusted drift sp_sharpe_22.
|
||||||
|
# Exact copy of exp26 (reference: expId=25 run=21afc6afdb674a399b59dd76c97628ce)
|
||||||
|
# except feature_fields. 5-seed ensemble.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp30-m2-sharpe" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
@@ -0,0 +1,99 @@
|
|||||||
|
# M3 isolation run: base compact set + GARCH(1,1) vol-regime trio.
|
||||||
|
# Exact copy of exp26 (reference: expId=25 run=21afc6afdb674a399b59dd76c97628ce)
|
||||||
|
# except feature_fields. 5-seed ensemble.
|
||||||
|
{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
|
||||||
|
{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_garch_cond_var,sp_garch_persistence,sp_garch_std_resid" %}
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
qlib_init:
|
||||||
|
provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
region: us
|
||||||
|
expression_cache: null
|
||||||
|
dataset_cache: null
|
||||||
|
calendar_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
instrument_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
|
||||||
|
feature_provider:
|
||||||
|
class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
|
||||||
|
exp_manager:
|
||||||
|
class: MLflowExpManager
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp31-m3-garch" }
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
task:
|
||||||
|
model:
|
||||||
|
class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
loss: mse
|
||||||
|
learning_rate: 0.02
|
||||||
|
num_leaves: 31
|
||||||
|
n_estimators: 3000
|
||||||
|
num_boost_round: 3000
|
||||||
|
early_stopping_rounds: 200
|
||||||
|
min_data_in_leaf: 20
|
||||||
|
lambda_l2: 0.5
|
||||||
|
colsample_bytree: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample: 0.8
|
||||||
|
subsample_freq: 1
|
||||||
|
reg_alpha: 0.1
|
||||||
|
reg_lambda: 1.0
|
||||||
|
seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
dataset:
|
||||||
|
class: DatasetH
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.data.dataset
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
handler:
|
||||||
|
class: TACHandler
|
||||||
|
module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2015-01-03
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
|
||||||
|
fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
|
||||||
|
market: US
|
||||||
|
label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
|
||||||
|
feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
|
||||||
|
infer_processors:
|
||||||
|
- { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
|
||||||
|
- { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
segments:
|
||||||
|
train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
|
||||||
|
valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
|
||||||
|
test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
|
||||||
|
|
||||||
|
record:
|
||||||
|
- { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
|
||||||
|
- { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
|
||||||
|
- class: PortAnaRecord
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
|
||||||
|
kwargs:
|
||||||
|
config:
|
||||||
|
strategy:
|
||||||
|
class: TopkDropoutStrategy
|
||||||
|
module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
|
||||||
|
kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
|
||||||
|
backtest:
|
||||||
|
start_time: 2026-01-04
|
||||||
|
end_time: 2026-08-10
|
||||||
|
account: 1000000
|
||||||
|
benchmark: SPY
|
||||||
|
exchange_kwargs:
|
||||||
|
codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
|
||||||
|
deal_price: $close
|
||||||
|
freq: day
|
||||||
|
open_cost: 0.0005
|
||||||
|
close_cost: 0.0015
|
||||||
|
min_cost: 5.0
|
||||||
|
risk_analysis_freq: 1d
|
||||||
Reference in New Issue
Block a user