finish experiment 33 (exp/33-q01-m2-reproduction-add-spsharpe22-to-th)

code/MANIFEST.txt

@@ -1,28 +1,27 @@
 # TradeAC custom-qlib-code snapshot (auto-generated)
-# parent repo HEAD : 336fa676b651d34455d984d5be51387823d882f9
+# parent repo HEAD : 6a1b05db2ee70d7661d695f5fd0b77b19c70e18a
 #   tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib
 #   tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data
 # per-file hashes (git hash-object):
   1b6298c4a5652f2e863cbdc385a1014a570fcd59  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__init__.py
-  861592c63edd6a0853a9cb174b5970435b135fc8  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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   c76a9f17f680e74eea766eff27f7624359749ed6  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__init__.py
-  5c547a2ef92e075e550fe6d01508a2f1d3f536bc  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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   0dd25ef161c6e0f15eafc84886e7e1381deb38c3  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/data/handler.py
   b151d139a0dcde87d74b21e7c4b729176ba5c39b  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__init__.py
-  b1489f2fc0dee85f0a4f90b2e6ad545ed9c8967b  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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   d3f051f3a8650c42fedc7b367b966f7c74fb5789  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_ensemble.py
   d03e6611338918d4aac5eea4adf26f85a3763652  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/model/rank_gbdt.py
   4afcf9058231111c412925f4c4b84e81d656db87  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__init__.py
-  c29e45e562256bf786c36f91a971b097467276e9  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/__init__.cpython-312.pyc
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-  6dd1c568a2961842793674390d5abffd1a0e71b8  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
+  8d684b3216b040071d9ee4fa920a0e0c7486d278  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/__pycache__/optimal_stop.cpython-312.pyc
   79aaad9e39fcc740a773f4f63c512ce1086cfde0  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/optimal_stop.py
-  fe60bacdfedd48617863be31f24b7c7daebfac5a  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/weekly_rebalance.py
   92e6e90eb0cd0a25142034560f27adb6b705b1a8  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__init__.py
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-  554a3f29d181b64effbf49a8161b32e7f93d8d3e  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/config.cpython-312.pyc
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-  8b47f6d78ac046b6b7b2fb07bd7f3382773ffb73  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/__pycache__/providers.cpython-312.pyc
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   53c9007a928841fd3c3b08450f9a6520ce1ac091  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/config.py
   8d0644f6f0d1efb94798ed444cc73e63b643459b  tac-qlib/tac_qlib/data/providers.py

code/tac-qlib/tac_qlib/contrib/strategy/weekly_rebalance.py

@@ -1,202 +0,0 @@
-"""Weekly-rebalance TopkDropout strategy.
-
-Turnover-reduction variant of ``qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy.TopkDropoutStrategy``:
-the topk/n_drop selection and sizing are identical to the reference, but the
-target book is recomputed only on the first trading day of each ISO week; on the
-other days the strategy issues NO orders (holds the book untouched).
-
-The weekly cadence is derived from the qlib trade calendar: a rebalance happens
-when the current trade step's date belongs to a different ISO ``(year, week)``
-than the previous trade step. ``hold_band_pct`` (default 0) optionally skips
-tiny rebalances: when a name's existing position differs from the new target by
-less than this fraction, no order is generated for it.
-"""
-
-from __future__ import annotations
-
-from typing import List
-
-import numpy as np
-import pandas as pd
-
-from qlib.backtest import Order
-from qlib.backtest.decision import OrderDir, TradeDecisionWO
-from qlib.contrib.strategy.signal_strategy import TopkDropoutStrategy
-
-__all__ = ["WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy"]
-
-DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT = 0.0
-
-
-class WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy(TopkDropoutStrategy):
-    """TopkDropout rebalanced once per ISO week; holds otherwise.
-
-    Parameters
-    ----------
-    topk, n_drop, method_sell, method_buy, hold_thresh, only_tradable,
-    forbid_all_trade_at_limit : same as ``TopkDropoutStrategy``.
-    hold_band_pct : skip order for a name whose deviation from target weight is
-        below this fraction of the target (no-trade buffer band).
-    """
-
-    def __init__(self, *, topk, n_drop, hold_band_pct: float = DEFAULT_HOLD_BAND_PCT, **kwargs):
-        super().__init__(topk=topk, n_drop=n_drop, **kwargs)
-        self.hold_band_pct = hold_band_pct
-
-    @staticmethod
-    def _iso_week(ts) -> tuple:
-        return (ts.year, ts.week)
-
-    def generate_trade_decision(self, execute_result=None):
-        import copy
-
-        trade_step = self.trade_calendar.get_trade_step()
-        trade_start_time, trade_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step)
-
-        cur_week = self._iso_week(trade_start_time)
-        prev_week = getattr(self, "_last_week", None)
-        self._last_week = cur_week
-
-        if prev_week is not None and prev_week == cur_week:
-            # not the first trading day of this ISO week -> hold
-            return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
-
-        pred_start_time, pred_end_time = self.trade_calendar.get_step_time(trade_step, shift=1)
-        pred_score = self.signal.get_signal(start_time=pred_start_time, end_time=pred_end_time)
-        if isinstance(pred_score, pd.DataFrame):
-            pred_score = pred_score.iloc[:, 0]
-        if pred_score is None:
-            return TradeDecisionWO([], self)
-
-        if self.only_tradable:
-
-            def get_first_n(li, n, reverse=False):
-                cur_n = 0
-                res = []
-                for si in reversed(li) if reverse else li:
-                    if self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
-                        stock_id=si, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
-                    ):
-                        res.append(si)
-                        cur_n += 1
-                        if cur_n >= n:
-                            break
-                return res[::-1] if reverse else res
-
-            def get_last_n(li, n):
-                return get_first_n(li, n, reverse=True)
-
-            def filter_stock(li):
-                return [
-                    si
-                    for si in li
-                    if self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
-                        stock_id=si, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
-                    )
-                ]
-
-        else:
-
-            def get_first_n(li, n):
-                return list(li)[:n]
-
-            def get_last_n(li, n):
-                return list(li)[-n:]
-
-            def filter_stock(li):
-                return li
-
-        current_temp: "object" = copy.deepcopy(self.trade_position)
-        sell_order_list: List[Order] = []
-        buy_order_list: List[Order] = []
-        cash = current_temp.get_cash()
-        current_stock_list = current_temp.get_stock_list()
-        last = pred_score.reindex(current_stock_list).sort_values(ascending=False).index
-
-        if self.method_buy == "top":
-            today = get_first_n(
-                pred_score[~pred_score.index.isin(last)].sort_values(ascending=False).index,
-                self.n_drop + self.topk - len(last),
-            )
-        elif self.method_buy == "random":
-            topk_candi = get_first_n(pred_score.sort_values(ascending=False).index, self.topk)
-            candi = list(filter(lambda x: x not in last, topk_candi))
-            n = self.n_drop + self.topk - len(last)
-            try:
-                today = np.random.choice(candi, n, replace=False)
-            except ValueError:
-                today = candi
-        else:
-            raise NotImplementedError(f"This type of input is not supported")
-
-        comb = pred_score.reindex(last.union(pd.Index(today))).sort_values(ascending=False).index
-
-        if self.method_sell == "bottom":
-            sell = last[last.isin(get_last_n(comb, self.n_drop))]
-        elif self.method_sell == "random":
-            candi = filter_stock(last)
-            try:
-                sell = pd.Index(np.random.choice(candi, self.n_drop, replace=False) if len(last) else [])
-            except ValueError:
-                sell = candi
-        else:
-            raise NotImplementedError(f"This type of input is not supported")
-
-        buy = today[: len(sell) + self.topk - len(last)]
-        for code in current_stock_list:
-            if not self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
-                stock_id=code,
-                start_time=trade_start_time,
-                end_time=trade_end_time,
-                direction=None if self.forbid_all_trade_at_limit else OrderDir.SELL,
-            ):
-                continue
-            if code in sell:
-                time_per_step = self.trade_calendar.get_freq()
-                if current_temp.get_stock_count(code, bar=time_per_step) < self.hold_thresh:
-                    continue
-                sell_amount = current_temp.get_stock_amount(code=code)
-                sell_order = Order(
-                    stock_id=code,
-                    amount=sell_amount,
-                    start_time=trade_start_time,
-                    end_time=trade_end_time,
-                    direction=Order.SELL,
-                )
-                if self.trade_exchange.check_order(sell_order):
-                    sell_order_list.append(sell_order)
-                    trade_val, trade_cost, trade_price = self.trade_exchange.deal_order(
-                        sell_order, position=current_temp
-                    )
-                    cash += trade_val - trade_cost
-
-        if len(buy) == 0:
-            return TradeDecisionWO(sell_order_list, self)
-
-        value = cash * self.risk_degree / len(buy)
-        for code in buy:
-            if not self.trade_exchange.is_stock_tradable(
-                stock_id=code,
-                start_time=trade_start_time,
-                end_time=trade_end_time,
-                direction=None if self.forbid_all_trade_at_limit else OrderDir.BUY,
-            ):
-                continue
-            buy_price = self.trade_exchange.get_deal_price(
-                stock_id=code, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time, direction=OrderDir.BUY
-            )
-            buy_amount = value / buy_price
-            factor = self.trade_exchange.get_factor(
-                stock_id=code, start_time=trade_start_time, end_time=trade_end_time
-            )
-            buy_amount = self.trade_exchange.round_amount_by_trade_unit(buy_amount, factor)
-            buy_order = Order(
-                stock_id=code,
-                amount=buy_amount,
-                start_time=trade_start_time,
-                end_time=trade_end_time,
-                direction=Order.BUY,
-            )
-            buy_order_list.append(buy_order)
-
-        return TradeDecisionWO(sell_order_list + buy_order_list, self)

queue/workflows/q01_m2_sharpe22_repro.yaml

@@ -1,19 +1,22 @@
 # -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-# EXP 14 - Strategy A (baseline): reference model + TopkDropout.
+# QUEUE-01 — M2 reproduction: risk-adjusted 22d Sharpe drift (sp_sharpe_22).
 #
-# Model = RankICEnsembleLGBModel (5-seed RankIC-early-stopped LGB), the class
+# Hypothesis (book ch.01/ch.07, EVIDENCE#018 -> exp 30): adding the
-# wired by the tac-rd-rank-ensemble-isolated reference (run 0cea66d9...).
+# risk-adjusted 22d Sharpe drift feature (sp_sharpe_22) to the compact
-# Strategy = TopkDropout topk=10 n_drop=2 risk_degree=0.95 (the reference's own
+# stochastic reference IMPROVES net portfolio performance (exp 30: net +6.53%
-# recorded backtest strategy), so this run reproduces the reference baseline on
+# IR 0.62 vs reference +2.13% IR 0.21) while rank metrics dip (RankIC 0.0576 vs
-# the same 50-ETF SP-5d panel.
+# 0.0663). exp 30 is a SINGLE clean-lake run, unreproduced -> HYPOTHESIS.
 #
-# Run:
+# Change vs exp-26 reference (EVIDENCE#015, run 21afc6af...): ONE feature added,
-#   rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/a_topk_baseline.yaml \
+# feature_fields = compact set + sp_sharpe_22. Everything else byte-identical.
-#       experiment_name=tac-rd-optstop-v2
+#
+# Acceptance: net_ann_return > +2.13% AND net_IR > 0.21 (else HYPOTHESIS -> REFUTED).
+# Run: rd_run_workflow config_path=<repo>/experiments/queue/workflows/q01_m2_sharpe22_repro.yaml \
+#        experiment_name=tac-rd-q01-m2-sharpe22-repro
 # -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
 {%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
 {%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
-{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22" %}
 
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
@@ -43,7 +46,7 @@ qlib_init:
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
         kwargs:
             uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
-            default_exp_name: "tac-rd-optstop-v2"
+            default_exp_name: "tac-rd-q01-m2-sharpe22-repro"
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -64,6 +67,7 @@ task:
             reg_alpha: 0.1
             reg_lambda: 1.0
             seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
+            parallel: 5
 
     dataset:
         class: DatasetH
@@ -75,14 +79,14 @@ task:
                 kwargs:
                     instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                     start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: 2026-08-14
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
                     fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
                     fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
                         - class: DropAllNaN
                           kwargs: {}
@@ -118,7 +122,7 @@ task:
                       kwargs:
                           signal: "<PRED>"
                           topk: 10
-                          n_drop: 2
+                          n_drop: 1
                           only_tradable: true
                           risk_degree: 0.95
                   backtest:
@@ -133,4 +137,4 @@ task:
                           open_cost: 0.0005
                           close_cost: 0.0015
                           min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d
+              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/bt-3x3-windows/A-weekly_2024.yaml

@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
-# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2024
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-qlib_init:
-    provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
-    region: us
-    expression_cache: null
-    dataset_cache: null
-    calendar_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    instrument_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
-    feature_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    exp_manager:
-        class: MLflowExpManager
-        module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
-
-task:
-    model:
-        class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
-        module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
-        kwargs:
-            loss: mse
-            learning_rate: 0.02
-            num_leaves: 31
-            n_estimators: 3000
-            num_boost_round: 3000
-            early_stopping_rounds: 200
-            min_data_in_leaf: 20
-            lambda_l2: 0.5
-            colsample_bytree: 0.8
-            subsample: 0.8
-            subsample_freq: 1
-            reg_alpha: 0.1
-            reg_lambda: 1.0
-            seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
-    dataset:
-        class: DatasetH
-        module_path: qlib.data.dataset
-        kwargs:
-            handler:
-                class: TACHandler
-                module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
-                kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
-                    end_time: "2025-01-07"
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
-                    fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
-                    freq: day
-                    lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-                    market: US
-                    label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
-                    infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
-                        - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
-                        - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
-            segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
-                valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
-                test:  ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
-
-    record:
-        - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
-        - { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
-        - class: PortAnaRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs:
-              config:
-                  strategy:
-                      class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
-                      module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
-                      kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
-                  backtest:
-                      start_time: "2024-01-02"
-                      end_time: "2024-12-31"
-                      account: 1000000
-                      benchmark: SPY
-                      exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                          deal_price: $close
-                          freq: day
-                          open_cost: 0.0005
-                          close_cost: 0.0015
-                          min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/bt-3x3-windows/A-weekly_2025.yaml

@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
-# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2025
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-qlib_init:
-    provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
-    region: us
-    expression_cache: null
-    dataset_cache: null
-    calendar_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    instrument_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
-    feature_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    exp_manager:
-        class: MLflowExpManager
-        module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
-
-task:
-    model:
-        class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
-        module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
-        kwargs:
-            loss: mse
-            learning_rate: 0.02
-            num_leaves: 31
-            n_estimators: 3000
-            num_boost_round: 3000
-            early_stopping_rounds: 200
-            min_data_in_leaf: 20
-            lambda_l2: 0.5
-            colsample_bytree: 0.8
-            subsample: 0.8
-            subsample_freq: 1
-            reg_alpha: 0.1
-            reg_lambda: 1.0
-            seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
-    dataset:
-        class: DatasetH
-        module_path: qlib.data.dataset
-        kwargs:
-            handler:
-                class: TACHandler
-                module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
-                kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
-                    end_time: "2026-01-07"
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
-                    fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
-                    freq: day
-                    lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-                    market: US
-                    label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
-                    infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
-                        - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
-                        - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
-            segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
-                valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
-                test:  ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
-
-    record:
-        - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
-        - { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
-        - class: PortAnaRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs:
-              config:
-                  strategy:
-                      class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
-                      module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
-                      kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
-                  backtest:
-                      start_time: "2025-01-02"
-                      end_time: "2025-12-31"
-                      account: 1000000
-                      benchmark: SPY
-                      exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                          deal_price: $close
-                          freq: day
-                          open_cost: 0.0005
-                          close_cost: 0.0015
-                          min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/bt-3x3-windows/B-moments_2024.yaml

@@ -1,95 +0,0 @@
-# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2024
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-qlib_init:
-    provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
-    region: us
-    expression_cache: null
-    dataset_cache: null
-    calendar_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    instrument_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US, markets: {} }
-    feature_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
-        kwargs: { lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}", market: US }
-    exp_manager:
-        class: MLflowExpManager
-        module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
-
-task:
-    model:
-        class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
-        module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
-        kwargs:
-            loss: mse
-            learning_rate: 0.02
-            num_leaves: 31
-            n_estimators: 3000
-            num_boost_round: 3000
-            early_stopping_rounds: 200
-            min_data_in_leaf: 20
-            lambda_l2: 0.5
-            colsample_bytree: 0.8
-            subsample: 0.8
-            subsample_freq: 1
-            reg_alpha: 0.1
-            reg_lambda: 1.0
-            seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-
-    dataset:
-        class: DatasetH
-        module_path: qlib.data.dataset
-        kwargs:
-            handler:
-                class: TACHandler
-                module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
-                kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
-                    end_time: "2025-01-07"
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
-                    fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
-                    freq: day
-                    lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-                    market: US
-                    label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
-                    infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
-                        - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
-                        - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
-            segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
-                valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
-                test:  ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
-
-    record:
-        - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
-        - { class: SigAnaRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: { ana_long_short: true, ann_scaler: 252 } }
-        - class: PortAnaRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs:
-              config:
-                  strategy:
-                      class: TopkDropoutStrategy
-                      module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
-                      kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
-                  backtest:
-                      start_time: "2024-01-02"
-                      end_time: "2024-12-31"
-                      account: 1000000
-                      benchmark: SPY
-                      exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
-                          deal_price: $close
-                          freq: day
-                          open_cost: 0.0005
-                          close_cost: 0.0015
-                          min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/b_optstop_v2.yaml

@@ -1,149 +0,0 @@
-# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-# EXP 14 - Strategy B (enhanced): reference model + OptimalStopControlV2.
-#
-# Model = RankICEnsembleLGBModel (5-seed RankIC-early-stopped LGB), identical to
-# Strategy A. Strategy = OptimalStopControlV2 (tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.
-# optimal_stop_v2) with the controls that address OptimalStopControl's documented
-# weaknesses:
-#   - turnover / cost control: rebalance_band=0.05 (skip small rebalances),
-#     cooldown_days=3 (no whipsaw re-entries), max_turnover=0.30 (cap daily
-#     traded notional, priority exits > opens > rebalances)
-#   - robust thresholds (no valid-window overfit): entry 0.85 / exit 0.70 /
-#     max_hold 10 / min_hold 2 / sl -0.08
-# Sizing = equal-weight control (risk_degree fraction of total value split
-# across targets) - the "proper allocation" that replaces cash-heuristic sizing.
-#
-# Run:
-#   rd_run_workflow config_path=experiments/workflows/exp14-optstop-v2/b_optstop_v2.yaml \
-#       experiment_name=tac-rd-optstop-v2
-# -----------------------------------------------------------------------------
-{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
-{%- set SP_FIELDS = "sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
-
-qlib_init:
-    provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
-    region: us
-    expression_cache: null
-    dataset_cache: null
-
-    calendar_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider
-        kwargs:
-            lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-            market: US
-    instrument_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider
-        kwargs:
-            lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-            market: US
-            markets: {}
-    feature_provider:
-        class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider
-        kwargs:
-            lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-            market: US
-
-    exp_manager:
-        class: MLflowExpManager
-        module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs:
-            uri: "sqlite:///{{ LAKE }}/mlruns.db"
-            default_exp_name: "tac-rd-optstop-v2"
-
-task:
-    model:
-        class: RankICEnsembleLGBModel
-        module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.model.rank_ensemble
-        kwargs:
-            loss: mse
-            learning_rate: 0.02
-            num_leaves: 31
-            n_estimators: 3000
-            num_boost_round: 3000
-            early_stopping_rounds: 200
-            min_data_in_leaf: 20
-            lambda_l2: 0.5
-            colsample_bytree: 0.8
-            subsample: 0.8
-            subsample_freq: 1
-            reg_alpha: 0.1
-            reg_lambda: 1.0
-            seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-
-    dataset:
-        class: DatasetH
-        module_path: qlib.data.dataset
-        kwargs:
-            handler:
-                class: TACHandler
-                module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
-                kwargs:
-                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: 2026-08-14
-                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
-                    freq: day
-                    lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
-                    market: US
-                    label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,{{ SP_FIELDS }}"
-                    infer_processors:
-                        - class: DropAllNaN
-                          kwargs: {}
-                        - class: ProcessInf
-                          kwargs: {}
-                        - class: CSRankNorm
-                          kwargs: {}
-                        - class: ZScoreNorm
-                          kwargs: {}
-                        - class: Fillna
-                          kwargs: {}
-            segments:
-                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
-
-    record:
-        - class: SignalRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs: {}
-        - class: SigAnaRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs:
-              ana_long_short: true
-              ann_scaler: 252
-        - class: PortAnaRecord
-          module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp
-          kwargs:
-              config:
-                  strategy:
-                      class: OptimalStopControlV2
-                      module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.optimal_stop_v2
-                      kwargs:
-                          signal: "<PRED>"
-                          topk: 10
-                          entry_pct: 0.85
-                          exit_pct: 0.70
-                          max_hold_days: 10
-                          min_hold_days: 2
-                          sl: -0.08
-                          risk_degree: 0.95
-                          notional: 20000
-                          rebalance_band: 0.05
-                          cooldown_days: 3
-                          max_turnover: 0.30
-                  backtest:
-                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: 2026-08-10
-                      account: 1000000
-                      benchmark: SPY
-                      exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                          deal_price: $close
-                          freq: day
-                          open_cost: 0.0005
-                          close_cost: 0.0015
-                          min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/exp22/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
-# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2025
+# Re-run of experiment 16 with validated family=ta and family=sp lake features.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sma_5,sma_20,ema_12,ema_26,rsi_14,macd,macd_signal,macd_hist,bb_upper,bb_middle,bb_lower,atr_14,adx_14,sp_ret,sp_ou_half_life,sp_ou_revert,sp_ou_zscore,sp_hmm_p_regime1,sp_hmm_state,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +20,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp16-db-ta-sp" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -39,7 +41,7 @@ task:
             reg_alpha: 0.1
             reg_lambda: 1.0
             seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
+
     dataset:
         class: DatasetH
         module_path: qlib.data.dataset
@@ -48,26 +50,26 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2026-01-07"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
+                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
                         - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
+                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -81,12 +83,12 @@ task:
                       module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2025-01-02"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2025-12-31"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005

workflows/exp23/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
-# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2024
+# General stochastic-process feature ablation: no TA, HMM, or OU fields.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_down,sp_max_move,sp_max_up,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_rv_ac1,sp_rv_cv_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_1,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22,sp_dsv_ratio_1,sp_dsv_ratio_5,sp_dsv_ratio_22,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag_5,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead_5" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +20,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -39,7 +41,7 @@ task:
             reg_alpha: 0.1
             reg_lambda: 1.0
             seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
+
     dataset:
         class: DatasetH
         module_path: qlib.data.dataset
@@ -48,26 +50,26 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2025-01-07"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2023-08-31"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
+                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
                         - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2023-08-31" } }
+                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2023-08-31"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2023-09-01", "2023-12-29"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2024-01-02", "2024-12-31"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -81,12 +83,12 @@ task:
                       module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2024-01-02"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2024-12-31"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005

workflows/exp24/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,8 @@
-# Walk-forward: C-ndrop2 / test 2026
+# Exact compact stochastic feature set requested for a new run in MLflow exp 25.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=2, parallel=5.
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +20,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -39,7 +41,7 @@ task:
             reg_alpha: 0.1
             reg_lambda: 1.0
             seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
+
     dataset:
         class: DatasetH
         module_path: qlib.data.dataset
@@ -48,16 +50,16 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
                         - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
@@ -65,9 +67,9 @@ task:
                         - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -81,12 +83,12 @@ task:
                       module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 2, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2026-01-04"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005

workflows/exp26/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,9 @@
-# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2026
+# Compact stochastic feature set with reduced turnover: n_drop=1 instead of 2.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
+# Same setup as exp24 (compact baseline) but replacing the TopkDropout n_drop 2 with 1.
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +21,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp22-stochastic-general" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -48,16 +51,16 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
                         - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
@@ -65,9 +68,9 @@ task:
                         - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -81,12 +84,12 @@ task:
                       module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2026-01-04"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005

workflows/exp30/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,10 @@
-# Walk-forward: A-weekly / test 2026
+# M2 isolation run: base compact set + risk-adjusted drift sp_sharpe_22.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=5.
+# Exact copy of exp26 (reference: expId=25 run=21afc6afdb674a399b59dd76c97628ce)
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+# except feature_fields. 5-seed ensemble.
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_sharpe_22" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +22,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp30-m2-sharpe" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -39,7 +43,7 @@ task:
             reg_alpha: 0.1
             reg_lambda: 1.0
             seeds: "42,7,2026,99,123"
-            parallel: 5
+
     dataset:
         class: DatasetH
         module_path: qlib.data.dataset
@@ -48,16 +52,16 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2025-09-01"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
                         - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
@@ -65,9 +69,9 @@ task:
                         - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2025-09-01"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2025-09-03", "2026-01-03"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2026-01-04", "2026-08-19"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -77,19 +81,19 @@ task:
           kwargs:
               config:
                   strategy:
-                      class: WeeklyRebalanceDropoutStrategy
+                      class: TopkDropoutStrategy
-                      module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.strategy.weekly_rebalance
+                      module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2026-01-04"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2026-08-19"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005
                           close_cost: 0.0015
                           min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d
+              risk_analysis_freq: 1d

workflows/exp31/workflow.yaml

@@ -1,6 +1,10 @@
-# Walk-forward: B-moments / test 2025
+# M3 isolation run: base compact set + GARCH(1,1) vol-regime trio.
-# 3x3 re-validation (trace exp 52). Strategy TopkDropoutStrategy n_drop=1, parallel=default(auto).
+# Exact copy of exp26 (reference: expId=25 run=21afc6afdb674a399b59dd76c97628ce)
-{% set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+# except feature_fields. 5-seed ensemble.
+{%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %}
+{%- set UNIVERSE = "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM" %}
+{%- set FEATURES = "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_garch_cond_var,sp_garch_persistence,sp_garch_std_resid" %}
+
 qlib_init:
     provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}"
     region: us
@@ -18,7 +22,7 @@ qlib_init:
     exp_manager:
         class: MLflowExpManager
         module_path: qlib.workflow.expm
-        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-bt-3x3-windows" }
+        kwargs: { uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db", default_exp_name: "tac-rd-exp31-m3-garch" }
 
 task:
     model:
@@ -48,26 +52,26 @@ task:
                 class: TACHandler
                 module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler
                 kwargs:
-                    instruments: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                    instruments: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
-                    start_time: "2015-01-03"
+                    start_time: 2015-01-03
-                    end_time: "2026-01-07"
+                    end_time: 2026-08-10
-                    fit_start_time: "2016-01-04"
+                    fit_start_time: 2016-01-04
-                    fit_end_time: "2024-08-30"
+                    fit_end_time: 2025-09-01
                     freq: day
                     lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}"
                     market: US
                     label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1"
-                    feature_fields: "$open,$high,$low,$close,$vwap,$volume,sp_ret,sp_jump_ratio,sp_jump_flag,sp_jump_tail,sp_max_move,sp_rv1,sp_rv5,sp_rv22,sp_vol_ratio_5_22,sp_vol_ratio_1_22,sp_trend_slope_5,sp_trend_slope_20,sp_trend_slope_60,sp_logp,sp_hurst_exponent,sp_sig_level1_lead,sp_sig_level1_lag,sp_sig_level2_lead_lag,sp_sig_level2_lag_lead,sp_rskew_5,sp_rskew_22,sp_rkurt_5,sp_rkurt_22,sp_dsv_5,sp_dsv_22"
+                    feature_fields: "{{ FEATURES }}"
                     infer_processors:
-                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
+                        - { class: DropAllNaN, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: ProcessInf, kwargs: {} }
                         - { class: CSRankNorm, kwargs: {} }
-                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2024-08-30" } }
+                        - { class: ZScoreNorm, kwargs: { fit_start_time: "2016-01-04", fit_end_time: "2025-09-01" } }
                         - { class: Fillna, kwargs: {} }
             segments:
-                train: ["2016-01-04", "2024-08-30"]
+                train: [2016-01-04, 2025-09-01]
-                valid: ["2024-09-03", "2024-12-31"]
+                valid: [2025-09-03, 2026-01-03]
-                test:  ["2025-01-02", "2025-12-31"]
+                test: [2026-01-04, 2026-08-10]
 
     record:
         - { class: SignalRecord, module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp, kwargs: {} }
@@ -81,15 +85,15 @@ task:
                       module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy
                       kwargs: { signal: "<PRED>", topk: 10, n_drop: 1, only_tradable: true, risk_degree: 0.95 }
                   backtest:
-                      start_time: "2025-01-02"
+                      start_time: 2026-01-04
-                      end_time: "2025-12-31"
+                      end_time: 2026-08-10
                       account: 1000000
                       benchmark: SPY
                       exchange_kwargs:
-                          codes: "SPY,QQQ,DIA,IWM,MDY,VTI,VOO,VEA,VWO,VT,EFA,EEM,TLT,IEF,SHY,AGG,BND,LQD,HYG,JNK,EMB,GLD,SLV,USO,UNG,DBA,DBC,XLK,XLF,XLE,XLV,XLI,XLY,XLP,XLU,XLB,XLRE,ARKK,SMH,SOXX,IBB,XBI,ITA,XAR,ICLN,TAN,FDN,IGV,ESPO,REM"
+                          codes: "{{ UNIVERSE }}"
                           deal_price: $close
                           freq: day
                           open_cost: 0.0005
                           close_cost: 0.0015
                           min_cost: 5.0
-              risk_analysis_freq: 1d
+              risk_analysis_freq: 1d