4 Commits

Include renames

Author	SHA1	Message	Date
zhaoli	8f7ce7bd8e	ch11: add EVIDENCE#051 — comprehensive model search confirms regime gate robustness to model selection	2026-08-20 22:38:52 +00:00
zhaoli	718b048df9	Add regime gate walk-forward test (EVIDENCE#050) ... - 3 detector types (dispersion/vol/HMM) × 14 configs across 5 years - Dispersion gates: 0% trip rate everywhere (dead) - Vol gates: trip differential +32-47pp but destroy returns in good years - HMM gates: +6pp differential, hmm_0.7 improves 2023/2025 but kills 2026 - Guard candidate regime gate REFUTED (ch 11) - Script: book/scripts/regime_gate_bt.py - Results: book/data/regime_gate/regime_gate_trip_rates.csv	2026-08-20 22:14:31 +00:00
zhaoli	4831a2770c	book: add perturbation stress test (EVIDENCE#049) — Config A 2026 robust to topk/n_drop/cost within window	2026-08-20 21:44:04 +00:00
zhaoli	18b61bbb8f	book: add ch 11 walk-forward + 5 refuted guards (exp 52-56); EVIDENCE#043-047; rename 12→13-synthesis	2026-08-20 21:03:59 +00:00