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book: add ch 11 walk-forward + 5 refuted guards (exp 52-56); EVIDENCE#043-047; rename 12→13-synthesis

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zhaoli
2026-08-20 21:03:59 +00:00
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book/chapters/00-intro.md
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@@ -40,8 +40,9 @@ The most important proof of this discipline is the clean-lake reset, which this
- Every claim is tagged `PROVEN` (traced experiment/round), `HYPOTHESIS` (unreproduced), or `REFERENCED` (external source). `EVIDENCE.md` maps each tag to the run, branch, and round behind it.
- Chapters 03–10 follow the research arc: what was tested, what was proved, what was refuted, and what moved performance. Refuted runs are cited as evidence too — knowing what *doesn't* work is how the desk avoided paying for it twice.
- Chapter 11 is the reality check: live execution against the research claims.
- Chapter 12 is the synthesis: the scoreboard of what actually improved performance and why.
- Chapter 11 is the walk-forward reality check: do the headline results survive re-training out-of-window, and can any guard isolate the profitable regime?
- Chapter 12 is the reality check on execution: live results against the research claims.
- Chapter 13 is the synthesis: the scoreboard of what actually improved performance and why.
## Open questions