# ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- # Tune run 1: wider, longer-horizon, de-duplicated universe. # # Baseline (exp 1 / run f29f5446): IC 0.071 / ICIR 0.17, Rank IC ~0.014; # strategy +4.9% ann (raw) vs benchmark ~+89% ann; excess return w/ cost # -0.94 ann, IR -2.23, excess max drawdown -18.9%. topk=2 with 24 trades over # 27 days on a universe of correlated ETFs + leveraged hedges (VXX/USO/SLV) # produced high turnover and a portfolio that trailed AAPL badly. # # Changes: # - universe: drop leveraged/noisy names (VXX, USO, SLV, BIL) and near- # duplicate index baskets (GPIQ, QQQE, KTEC); keep 10 liquid core names. # - label: 5-day forward return (Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1) to cut # single-day noise and match the intended holding horizon. # - topk 2 -> 5, n_drop 1: more diversification, lower turnover per name. # - benchmark AAPL -> QQQ (a real index ETF the universe tracks). # - model: learning_rate 0.03, 300 estimators (slower, deeper fit). # # Trigger: # rd_run_workflow config_path=tac-qlib/workflows/tune_run1_wider_5d.yaml \ # experiment_name=tac-rd-tune # ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- {%- set LAKE = TAC_LAKE_DIR %} qlib_init: provider_uri: "{{ LAKE }}" region: us expression_cache: null dataset_cache: null calendar_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeCalendarProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US instrument_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeInstrumentProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US markets: {} feature_provider: class: tac_qlib.data.providers.LakeFeatureProvider kwargs: lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US exp_manager: class: MLflowExpManager module_path: qlib.workflow.expm kwargs: uri: "sqlite:///mlruns.db" default_exp_name: "tac-rd-tune" task: model: class: LGBModel module_path: qlib.contrib.model.gbdt kwargs: loss: mse learning_rate: 0.03 num_leaves: 15 n_estimators: 300 colsample_bytree: 0.8 subsample: 0.8 subsample_freq: 1 reg_alpha: 0.01 reg_lambda: 0.01 seed: 2026 dataset: class: DatasetH module_path: qlib.data.dataset kwargs: handler: class: TACHandler module_path: tac_qlib.contrib.data.handler kwargs: instruments: AAPL,MSFT,TSLA,QQQ,IVV,SMH,TLT,IBIT,MCHI,AIQ start_time: 2000-01-03 end_time: 2026-08-06 fit_start_time: 2026-03-01 fit_end_time: 2026-05-31 freq: day lake_root: "{{ LAKE }}" market: US label: "Ref($close,-6)/Ref($close,-1)-1" segments: train: [2026-03-01, 2026-05-31] valid: [2026-06-01, 2026-06-30] test: [2026-07-01, 2026-08-06] record: - class: SignalRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: {} - class: SigAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: ana_long_short: true ann_scaler: 252 - class: PortAnaRecord module_path: qlib.workflow.record_temp kwargs: config: strategy: class: TopkDropoutStrategy module_path: qlib.contrib.strategy kwargs: signal: "" topk: 5 n_drop: 1 only_tradable: true risk_degree: 0.95 backtest: start_time: 2026-07-01 end_time: 2026-08-06 account: 1000000 benchmark: QQQ exchange_kwargs: codes: AAPL,MSFT,TSLA,QQQ,IVV,SMH,TLT,IBIT,MCHI,AIQ deal_price: $close freq: day open_cost: 0.0005 close_cost: 0.0015 min_cost: 5.0 risk_analysis_freq: 1d